Friendlies 1

Mar 22, 2024 at 8pm UK

Cairo International Stadium

Egypt
1 - 0
New Zealand

Mohamed (29' pen.)
Trezeguet (52')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Boxall (49'), Stamenic (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's friendly clash between Egypt and New Zealand, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Egypt

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Egypt 1-1 Congo DR (7-8 pen.)
Sunday, January 28 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Cape Verde	3	4	7
2	Egypt	3	0	3
3	Ghana	3	-1	2
4	Mozambique	3	-3	2

New Zealand

All competitions

Last Game: Rep. Ireland 1-1 New Zealand
Tuesday, November 21 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Portugal	3	5	7
2	Mexico	3	2	7
3	Russia	3	0	3
4	New Zealand	3	-7	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Egypt win with a probability of 67.83%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for New Zealand had a probability of 12.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Egypt win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.44%) and 2-1 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.44%), while for a New Zealand win it was 0-1 (4.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Egypt in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Egypt.

Result
Egypt	Draw	New Zealand
67.83% ( -0.41)	20.05% ( 0.23)	12.11% ( 0.18)

Both teams to score 43.46% (

-0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.46% (

-0.5)

49.54% (

0.49)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.43% (

-0.45)

71.57% (

0.44)

Egypt Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.37% (

-0.28)

13.62% (

0.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.21% (

-0.56)

40.78% (

0.55)

New Zealand Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

50.31% (

0.01)

49.68% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.56% (

0.01)

84.43% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Egypt 67.82%

New Zealand 12.11%

Draw 20.05%

Egypt	Draw	New Zealand
1-0 @ 13.49% ( 0.14) 2-0 @ 13.44% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.41% ( 0) 3-0 @ 8.94% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 6.25% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 4.45% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 3.12% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.19% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 1.78% ( -0.06) 5-1 @ 1.24% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.09% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.44% Total : 67.82%	1-1 @ 9.44% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 6.77% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 3.29% ( 0) Other @ 0.56% Total : 20.05%	0-1 @ 4.74% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 3.3% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 1.66% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.42% Total : 12.11%