International Friendlies
Mar 22, 2024 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Cairo International Stadium
  • Mostafa Mohamed 29' goal
  • Trezeguet 52' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Michael Boxall 49'
  • yellowcard Marko Stamenic 89'

Egypt vs New Zealand - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Egypt

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Jan 7, 2024 4.00pm
Egypt 2 - 0 Tanzania

New Zealand

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Egypt win with a probability of 67.83%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for New Zealand had a probability of 12.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Egypt win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.44%) and 2-1 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.44%), while for a New Zealand win it was 0-1 (4.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Egypt in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Egypt.

Result

Egypt 67.83% (-0.42)
Draw 20.05% (+0.23)
New Zealand 12.11% (+0.19)

Both Teams to Score: 

43.46% (-0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5 50.46% (-0.50)
Under 2.5 49.54% (+0.50)
Over 3.5 28.43% (-0.45)
Under 3.5 71.57% (+0.45)
Over 4.5 13.6% (-0.31)
Under 4.5 86.4% (+0.31)

Egypt Goals

Over 0.5 86.37% (-0.28)
Under 0.5 13.62% (+0.28)
Over 1.5 59.21% (-0.56)
Under 1.5 40.78% (+0.56)

New Zealand Goals

Over 0.5 50.31% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 49.68% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 15.56% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 84.43% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Egypt 67.82%
Draw 20.05%
New Zealand 12.11%
Egypt
1-0 @ 13.49% (+0.15)
2-0 @ 13.44% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 9.41% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 8.94% (-0.10)
3-1 @ 6.25% (-0.07)
4-0 @ 4.45% (-0.10)
4-1 @ 3.12% (-0.07)
3-2 @ 2.19% (-0.03)
5-0 @ 1.78% (-0.06)
5-1 @ 1.24% (-0.04)
4-2 @ 1.09% (-0.03)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 67.82%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.44% (+0.10)
0-0 @ 6.77% (+0.14)
2-2 @ 3.29% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 20.05%
New Zealand
0-1 @ 4.74% (+0.10)
1-2 @ 3.3% (+0.04)
0-2 @ 1.66% (+0.04)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 12.11%