Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Egypt win with a probability of 67.83%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for New Zealand had a probability of 12.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Egypt win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.44%) and 2-1 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.44%), while for a New Zealand win it was 0-1 (4.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Egypt in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Egypt.