Friendlies 1

Nov 21, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Aviva Stadium

Rep. Ireland
1 - 1
New Zealand

Idah (28')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Garbett (59')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's friendly clash between Republic of Ireland and New Zealand, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Republic of Ireland

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Netherlands 1-0 Rep. Ireland
Saturday, November 18 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	France	7	26	21
2	Netherlands	7	4	15
3	Greece	7	6	12
4	Republic of Ireland	8	-1	6
5	Gibraltar	7	-35	0

New Zealand

All competitions

Last Game: Greece 2-0 New Zealand
Friday, November 17 at 5pm in International Friendlies

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Portugal	3	5	7
2	Mexico	3	2	7
3	Russia	3	0	3
4	New Zealand	3	-7	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Republic of Ireland win with a probability of 54.26%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for New Zealand had a probability of 21.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Republic of Ireland win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.25%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.6%), while for a New Zealand win it was 0-1 (7.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.

Result
Republic of Ireland	Draw	New Zealand
54.26% ( -0.45)	24.45% ( 0.25)	21.29% ( 0.2)

Both teams to score 49.21% (

-0.46)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.98% (

-0.75)

52.02% (

0.74)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.24% (

-0.65)

73.76% (

0.65)

Republic of Ireland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.9% (

-0.45)

19.1% (

0.45)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.29% (

-0.76)

50.71% (

0.76)

New Zealand Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.82% (

-0.22)

39.17% (

0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.11% (

-0.21)

75.89% (

0.21)

Score Analysis

Republic of Ireland 54.25%

New Zealand 21.29%

Draw 24.44%

Republic of Ireland	Draw	New Zealand
1-0 @ 12.38% ( 0.19) 2-0 @ 10.25% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.61% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 5.66% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 5.3% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 2.49% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 2.34% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 2.2% ( -0.08) 4-2 @ 1.03% ( -0.04) Other @ 3% Total : 54.25%	1-1 @ 11.6% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 7.48% ( 0.22) 2-2 @ 4.5% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.86% Total : 24.44%	0-1 @ 7.01% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 5.44% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 3.29% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 1.7% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.42% Total : 21.29%