International Friendlies
Nov 17, 2023 5.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Olympiako Stadio Spyros Louis
  • Giannis Konstantelias 10' goal
  • Giorgos Giakoumakis 29' goal
  • Dimitrios Kourbelis 52' yellowcard

Greece vs New Zealand - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Greece

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Mar 27, 2023 5.00pm
Greece 0 - 0 Lithuania

New Zealand

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Oct 17, 2023 7.45pm
Australia 2 - 0 New Zealand

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greece win with a probability of 64.85%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for New Zealand had a probability of 13.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Greece win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.83%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.03%), while for a New Zealand win it was 0-1 (5.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Greece would win this match.

Result

Greece 64.85% (-0.19)
Draw 21.28% (+0.03)
New Zealand 13.87% (+0.17)

Both Teams to Score: 

44.63% (+0.36)

Goals

Over 2.5 49.32% (+0.25)
Under 2.5 50.68% (-0.25)
Over 3.5 27.41% (+0.22)
Under 3.5 72.58% (-0.22)
Over 4.5 12.92% (+0.14)
Under 4.5 87.08% (-0.15)

Greece Goals

Over 0.5 85.09% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 14.91% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 56.71% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 43.29% (-0.04)

New Zealand Goals

Over 0.5 52.45% (+0.41)
Under 0.5 47.55% (-0.41)
Over 1.5 17.1% (+0.30)
Under 1.5 82.9% (-0.30)

Score analysis

Greece 64.84%
Draw 21.28%
New Zealand 13.87%
Greece
1-0 @ 13.49% (-0.12)
2-0 @ 12.83% (-0.11)
2-1 @ 9.55% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 8.15% (-0.07)
3-1 @ 6.06% (+0.03)
4-0 @ 3.88% (-0.03)
4-1 @ 2.88% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.25% (+0.04)
5-0 @ 1.48% (-0.01)
5-1 @ 1.1% (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.07% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 64.84%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.03% (+0.03)
0-0 @ 7.09% (-0.07)
2-2 @ 3.55% (+0.06)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 21.28%
New Zealand
0-1 @ 5.27% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 3.73% (+0.06)
0-2 @ 1.96% (+0.03)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 13.87%