Friendlies 1

Nov 17, 2023 at 5pm UK

Olympiako Stadio Spyros Louis

Greece
2 - 0
New Zealand

Konstantelias (10'), Giakoumakis (29')
Kourbelis (52')

FT(HT: 2-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's friendly clash between Greece and New Zealand, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Greece

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Greece 0-1 Netherlands
Monday, October 16 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	France	6	12	18
2	Greece	7	6	12
3	Netherlands	6	3	12
4	Republic of Ireland	7	0	6
5	Gibraltar	6	-21	0

New Zealand

All competitions

Last Game: Australia 2-0 New Zealand
Tuesday, October 17 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Portugal	3	5	7
2	Mexico	3	2	7
3	Russia	3	0	3
4	New Zealand	3	-7	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greece win with a probability of 64.85%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for New Zealand had a probability of 13.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Greece win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.83%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.03%), while for a New Zealand win it was 0-1 (5.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Greece would win this match.

Result
Greece	Draw	New Zealand
64.85% ( -0.19)	21.28% ( 0.02)	13.87% ( 0.16)

Both teams to score 44.63% (

0.35)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.32% (

0.24)

50.68% (

-0.24)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.41% (

0.21)

72.58% (

-0.21)

Greece Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.09% (

0.02)

14.91% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.71% (

0.03)

43.29% (

-0.04)

New Zealand Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.45% (

0.4)

47.55% (

-0.4)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.1% (

0.3)

82.9% (

-0.3)

Score Analysis

Greece 64.84%

New Zealand 13.87%

Draw 21.28%

Greece	Draw	New Zealand
1-0 @ 13.49% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 12.83% ( -0.11) 2-1 @ 9.55% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 8.15% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 6.06% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 3.88% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 2.88% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.25% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 1.48% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.1% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.07% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.12% Total : 64.84%	1-1 @ 10.03% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.09% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 3.55% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.61% Total : 21.28%	0-1 @ 5.27% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 3.73% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 1.96% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.99% Total : 13.87%