Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greece win with a probability of 64.85%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for New Zealand had a probability of 13.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greece win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.83%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.03%), while for a New Zealand win it was 0-1 (5.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Greece would win this match.