International Friendlies
Oct 17, 2023 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT ANZ Stadium
  • Harry Souttar 13' goal
  • Jackson Irvine 76' goal

Australia vs New Zealand - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Australia

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Oct 13, 2023 7.45pm
England 1 - 0 Australia

New Zealand

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Jun 16, 2023 6.00pm
Sweden 4 - 1 New Zealand

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New Zealand win with a probability of 38.61%. A win for Australia had a probability of 32.28% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a New Zealand win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.75%) and 0-2 (7.5%). The likeliest Australia win was 1-0 (11.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Australia would win this match.

Result

Australia 32.28% (+0.22)
Draw 29.11% (-0.25)
New Zealand 38.61% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

44.23% (+0.72)

Goals

Over 2.5 37.55% (+0.85)
Under 2.5 62.44% (-0.85)
Over 3.5 17.93% (+0.62)
Under 3.5 82.06% (-0.62)
Over 4.5 7.18% (+0.34)
Under 4.5 92.82% (-0.34)

Australia Goals

Over 0.5 64.44% (+0.62)
Under 0.5 35.56% (-0.62)
Over 1.5 27.67% (+0.64)
Under 1.5 72.33% (-0.64)

New Zealand Goals

Over 0.5 68.64% (+0.46)
Under 0.5 31.36% (-0.46)
Over 1.5 32.27% (+0.53)
Under 1.5 67.73% (-0.53)

Score analysis

Australia 32.28%
Draw 29.1%
New Zealand 38.61%
Australia
1-0 @ 11.53% (-0.17)
2-1 @ 6.91% (+0.10)
2-0 @ 5.96% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 2.38% (+0.08)
3-0 @ 2.05% (+0.04)
3-2 @ 1.38% (+0.06)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 32.28%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.37% (-0.04)
0-0 @ 11.15% (-0.36)
2-2 @ 4.01% (+0.11)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 29.1%
New Zealand
0-1 @ 12.93% (-0.25)
1-2 @ 7.75% (+0.08)
0-2 @ 7.5% (-0.05)
1-3 @ 3% (+0.07)
0-3 @ 2.9% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.55% (+0.06)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 38.61%

Head to Head

International Friendlies
Sep 25, 2022 4.00am
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • goal Mitchell Duke 54'
  • goal Jason Cummings 80'
International Friendlies
Sep 22, 2022 11.00am
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT ANZ Stadium
  • Awer Mabil 32' goal