Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New Zealand win with a probability of 38.61%. A win for Australia had a probability of 32.28% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a New Zealand win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.75%) and 0-2 (7.5%). The likeliest Australia win was 1-0 (11.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Australia would win this match.