Friendlies 1

Oct 17, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

ANZ Stadium

Australia
2 - 0
New Zealand

Souttar (13'), Irvine (76')

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's friendly clash between Australia and New Zealand, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Australia

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: England 1-0 Australia
Friday, October 13 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	France	3	3	6
2	Australia	3	-1	6
3	Tunisia	3	0	4
4	Denmark	3	-2	1

New Zealand

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: New Zealand 1-1 Congo DR
Friday, October 13 at 5pm in International Friendlies

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Portugal	3	5	7
2	Mexico	3	2	7
3	Russia	3	0	3
4	New Zealand	3	-7	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New Zealand win with a probability of 38.61%. A win for Australia had a probability of 32.28% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a New Zealand win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.75%) and 0-2 (7.5%). The likeliest Australia win was 1-0 (11.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Australia would win this match.

Result
Australia	Draw	New Zealand
32.28% ( 0.22)	29.11% ( -0.25)	38.61% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 44.23% (

0.71)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.55% (

0.85)

62.44% (

-0.85)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.93% (

0.62)

82.06% (

-0.62)

Australia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.44% (

0.62)

35.56% (

-0.62)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.67% (

0.63)

72.33% (

-0.63)

New Zealand Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.64% (

0.45)

31.36% (

-0.45)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.27% (

0.52)

67.73% (

-0.52)

Score Analysis

Australia 32.28%

New Zealand 38.61%

Draw 29.1%

Australia	Draw	New Zealand
1-0 @ 11.53% ( -0.17) 2-1 @ 6.91% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 5.96% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.38% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 2.05% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 1.38% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.06% Total : 32.28%	1-1 @ 13.37% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 11.15% ( -0.36) 2-2 @ 4.01% ( 0.11) Other @ 0.58% Total : 29.1%	0-1 @ 12.93% ( -0.25) 1-2 @ 7.75% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 7.5% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 3% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 2.9% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.55% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.98% Total : 38.61%