International Friendlies
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fnzllog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fcdrlog.png)
-
Chris Wood
90'+1'
-
Nando Pijnaker
90'+3'
-
Cedric Bakambu
46'
-
Grady Diangana
68'
New Zealand vs Congo DR - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F29%2Fnzkor.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New Zealand win with a probability of 55.06%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Congo DR had a probability of 20.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a New Zealand win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.27%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.43%), while for a Congo DR win it was 0-1 (6.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.
Result
New Zealand
55.06%
▼
(-0.42)
Draw
24.05%
▲
(+0.18)
Congo DR
20.89%
▲
(+0.24)
Both Teams to Score:
49.83%
▼
(-0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5
49.08%
▼
(-0.42)
Under 2.5
50.91%
▲
(+0.42)
Over 3.5
27.21%
▼
(-0.37)
Under 3.5
72.79%
▲
(+0.37)
Over 4.5
12.78%
▼
(-0.25)
Under 4.5
87.21%
▲
(+0.25)
New Zealand Goals
Over 0.5
81.62%
▼
(-0.31)
Under 0.5
18.37%
▲
(+0.31)
Over 1.5
50.5%
▼
(-0.53)
Under 1.5
49.5%
▲
(+0.53)
Congo DR Goals
Over 0.5
61.04%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 0.5
38.95%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 1.5
24.32%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 1.5
75.68%
▼
(-0.02)
Score analysis
New Zealand
55.05%
Draw
24.05%
Congo DR
20.89%
New Zealand
1-0
@
12.12%
▲
(+0.09)
2-0 @ 10.27% ▼ (-0.04)
2-1 @ 9.69% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 5.8% ▼ (-0.08)
3-1 @ 5.47% ▼ (-0.08)
3-2 @ 2.58% ▼ (-0.04)
4-0 @ 2.46% ▼ (-0.06)
4-1 @ 2.32% ▼ (-0.06)
4-2 @ 1.09% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 55.05%
2-0 @ 10.27% ▼ (-0.04)
2-1 @ 9.69% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 5.8% ▼ (-0.08)
3-1 @ 5.47% ▼ (-0.08)
3-2 @ 2.58% ▼ (-0.04)
4-0 @ 2.46% ▼ (-0.06)
4-1 @ 2.32% ▼ (-0.06)
4-2 @ 1.09% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 55.05%
Draw
1-1
@
11.43%
▲
(+0.09)
0-0 @ 7.16% ▲ (+0.12)
2-2 @ 4.57% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 24.05%
0-0 @ 7.16% ▲ (+0.12)
2-2 @ 4.57% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 24.05%
Congo DR
0-1
@
6.75%
▲
(+0.12)
1-2 @ 5.39% ▲ (+0.04)
0-2 @ 3.18% ▲ (+0.06)
1-3 @ 1.69% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.44% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1% ▲ (+1.80)
Other @ 1.44%
Total : 20.89%
1-2 @ 5.39% ▲ (+0.04)
0-2 @ 3.18% ▲ (+0.06)
1-3 @ 1.69% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.44% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1% ▲ (+1.80)
Other @ 1.44%
Total : 20.89%