Friendlies 2

Oct 13, 2023 at 5pm UK

Westpac Stadium

New Zealand
1 - 1
Congo DR

Wood (90+1' pen.)
Pijnaker (90+3')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Bakambu (46')
Diangana (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's friendly clash between New Zealand and Congo DR, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

New Zealand

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Qatar 0-1 New Zealand
Monday, June 19 at 5pm in International Friendlies

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Portugal	3	5	7
2	Mexico	3	2	7
3	Russia	3	0	3
4	New Zealand	3	-7	0

Congo DR

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: South Africa 1-0 Congo DR
Tuesday, September 12 at 4pm in International Friendlies

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Egypt	3	5	9
2	Uganda	3	0	4
3	Congo DR	3	0	3
4	Zimbabwe	3	-5	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New Zealand win with a probability of 55.06%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Congo DR had a probability of 20.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a New Zealand win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.27%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.43%), while for a Congo DR win it was 0-1 (6.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.

Result
New Zealand	Draw	Congo DR
55.06% ( -0.41)	24.05% ( 0.17)	20.89% ( 0.24)

Both teams to score 49.83% (

-0.18)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.08% (

-0.42)

50.91% (

0.41)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.21% (

-0.37)

72.79% (

0.37)

New Zealand Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.62% (

-0.31)

18.37% (

0.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.5% (

-0.53)

49.5% (

0.53)

Congo DR Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.04% (

0.01)

38.95% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.32% (

0.01)

75.68% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

New Zealand 55.05%

Congo DR 20.89%

Draw 24.05%

New Zealand	Draw	Congo DR
1-0 @ 12.12% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 10.27% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.69% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 5.8% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 5.47% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 2.58% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 2.46% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 2.32% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.09% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.26% Total : 55.05%	1-1 @ 11.43% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 7.16% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 4.57% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.9% Total : 24.05%	0-1 @ 6.75% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 5.39% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 3.18% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 1.69% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.44% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.44% Total : 20.89%