Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Egypt win with a probability of 37.17%. A win for Cape Verde had a probability of 32.18% and a draw had a probability of 30.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Egypt win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.42%) and 1-2 (7.13%). The likeliest Cape Verde win was 1-0 (12.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.