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World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage
Nov 21, 2023 at 2.15pm UK
Mbombela Stadium
Cape Verde national football team

Eswatini
0 - 2
Cape Verde


Owa Matsebula (51'), Dlamini (59'), Costa (59'), Silenge (77'), Silenge (81')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Mendes (17'), Monteiro (38')
Costa (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Eswatini and Cape Verde, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Eswatini

Last Game: Eswatini 0-1 Libya
Friday, November 17 at 1pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Cape Verde

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Cape Verde 0-0 Angola
Thursday, November 16 at 7pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cape Verde win with a probability of 39.79%. A win for Eswatini had a probability of 32.63% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cape Verde win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.29%) and 0-2 (7.36%). The likeliest Eswatini win was 1-0 (10.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Cape Verde would win this match.

Result
EswatiniDrawCape Verde
32.63% (0.018000000000001 0.02)27.58% (0.083000000000002 0.08)39.79% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
Both teams to score 48.64% (-0.238 -0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.99% (-0.303 -0.3)57.01% (0.306 0.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.1% (-0.243 -0.24)77.9% (0.245 0.25)
Eswatini Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.55% (-0.143 -0.14)32.45% (0.146 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.02% (-0.161 -0.16)68.97% (0.164 0.16)
Cape Verde Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72% (-0.19799999999999 -0.2)27.99% (0.202 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.36% (-0.254 -0.25)63.63% (0.258 0.26)
Score Analysis
    Eswatini 32.63%
    Cape Verde 39.79%
    Draw 27.57%
EswatiniDrawCape Verde
1-0 @ 10.22% (0.08 0.08)
2-1 @ 7.32% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 5.75% (0.022 0.02)
3-1 @ 2.75% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.16% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 1.75% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 32.63%
1-1 @ 13.01% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 9.08% (0.106 0.11)
2-2 @ 4.66% (-0.035 -0.04)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 27.57%
0-1 @ 11.56% (0.07 0.07)
1-2 @ 8.29% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-2 @ 7.36% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 3.52% (-0.033 -0.03)
0-3 @ 3.13% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.98% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.12% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 39.79%

How you voted: Eswatini vs Cape Verde

Eswatini
11.1%
Draw
27.8%
Cape Verde
61.1%
18
Head to Head
Mar 28, 2023 2pm
Group Stage
Eswatini
0-1
Cape Verde
Mendes (56')
Mar 24, 2023 4pm
Group Stage
Cape Verde
0-0
Eswatini