Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cape Verde win with a probability of 46.36%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Comoros had a probability of 25.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cape Verde win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.27%) and 2-1 (8.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.84%), while for a Comoros win it was 0-1 (9.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.