Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Libya win with a probability of 41.94%. A draw had a probability of 29.1% and a win for Eswatini had a probability of 28.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Libya win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.41%) and 1-2 (8.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.25%), while for a Eswatini win it was 1-0 (10.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Libya in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Libya.

Result
Eswatini	Draw	Libya
28.97% ( -0.32)	29.09% ( -0.22)	41.94% ( 0.54)

Both teams to score 43.17% (

0.42)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

36.79% (

0.59)

63.21% (

-0.59)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.38% (

0.43)

82.62% (

-0.43)

Eswatini Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.49% (

0.07)

38.51% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.74% (

0.07)

75.26% (

-0.07)

Libya Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.2% (

0.61)

29.79% (

-0.61)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.13% (

0.73)

65.87% (

-0.73)

Score Analysis

Eswatini 28.96%

Libya 41.93%

Draw 29.08%

Eswatini	Draw	Libya
1-0 @ 10.94% ( -0.23) 2-1 @ 6.33% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 5.22% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 2.01% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.66% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 1.22% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.58% Total : 28.96%	1-1 @ 13.25% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 11.47% ( -0.26) 2-2 @ 3.83% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.53% Total : 29.08%	0-1 @ 13.89% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 8.41% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 8.03% ( 0.11) 0-3 @ 3.4% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 3.24% ( 0.1) 2-3 @ 1.55% ( 0.05) 0-4 @ 1.03% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 0.98% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.42% Total : 41.93%