Cape Verde vs Mozambique - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cape Verde win with a probability of 42.77%. A win for Mozambique had a probability of 28.89% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cape Verde win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.42%) and 2-1 (8.32%). The likeliest Mozambique win was 0-1 (10.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Cape Verde would win this match.