Mozambique vs Nigeria - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nigeria win with a probability of 41.75%. A win for Mozambique had a probability of 29.7% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nigeria win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.2%) and 1-2 (8.19%). The likeliest Mozambique win was 1-0 (10.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nigeria would win this match.