International Friendlies
Oct 13, 2023 5.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Municipal de Portimao
  • Salman Al-Faraj 60' goal
  • Abdullah Alkhaibari 67' yellowcard
  • Salem Al-Dawsari 89' yellowcard
  • Mohammed Kanoo 90'+10' goal
  • goal Abdulelah Al Amri 73' (OG)
  • goal Kelechi Iheanacho 81'
  • yellowcard Joe Aribo 90'+8'

Saudi Arabia vs Nigeria - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Saudi Arabia

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Sep 12, 2023 5.30pm
Saudi Arabia 0 - 1 South Korea

Nigeria

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nigeria win with a probability of 45.83%. A win for Saudi Arabia had a probability of 27.63% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nigeria win was 0-1 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.99%) and 0-2 (8.58%). The likeliest Saudi Arabia win was 1-0 (8.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.

Result

Saudi Arabia 27.63% (-1.28)
Draw 26.54% (-0.46)
Nigeria 45.83% (+1.74)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.4% (+0.55)

Goals

Over 2.5 45.06% (+1.09)
Under 2.5 54.93% (-1.08)
Over 3.5 23.78% (+0.89)
Under 3.5 76.22% (-0.89)
Over 4.5 10.59% (+0.55)
Under 4.5 89.4% (-0.55)

Saudi Arabia Goals

Over 0.5 64.92% (-0.43)
Under 0.5 35.07% (+0.43)
Over 1.5 28.18% (-0.46)
Under 1.5 71.82% (+0.46)

Nigeria Goals

Over 0.5 76.09% (+1.34)
Under 0.5 23.91% (-1.34)
Over 1.5 41.87% (+1.87)
Under 1.5 58.12% (-1.87)

Score analysis

Saudi Arabia 27.63%
Draw 26.53%
Nigeria 45.84%
Saudi Arabia
1-0 @ 8.79% (-0.49)
2-1 @ 6.59% (-0.18)
2-0 @ 4.6% (-0.32)
3-1 @ 2.3% (-0.10)
3-2 @ 1.65% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 1.61% (-0.13)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 27.63%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.57% (-0.19)
0-0 @ 8.39% (-0.36)
2-2 @ 4.71% (+0.06)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 26.53%
Nigeria
0-1 @ 12% (-0.03)
1-2 @ 8.99% (+0.21)
0-2 @ 8.58% (+0.30)
1-3 @ 4.29% (+0.26)
0-3 @ 4.09% (+0.30)
2-3 @ 2.25% (+0.11)
1-4 @ 1.53% (+0.15)
0-4 @ 1.46% (+0.16)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 45.84%