Friendlies 1

Oct 13, 2023 at 5pm UK

Estadio Municipal de Portimao

Saudi Arabia
2 - 2
Nigeria

Al-Faraj (60'), Kanoo (90+10')
Alkhaibari (67'), Al-Dawsari (89')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Al Amri (73' og.), Iheanacho (81')
Aribo (90+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's friendly clash between Saudi Arabia and Nigeria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Saudi Arabia

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Saudi Arabia 0-1 South Korea
Tuesday, September 12 at 5.30pm in International Friendlies

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Argentina	3	3	6
2	Poland	3	0	4
3	Mexico	3	-1	4
4	Saudi Arabia	3	-2	3

Nigeria

All competitions

Last Game: Nigeria 6-0 Sao Tome
Sunday, September 10 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Nigeria	3	5	9
2	Egypt	3	1	6
3	Sudan	3	-3	1
4	Guinea-Bissau	3	-3	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nigeria win with a probability of 45.83%. A win for Saudi Arabia had a probability of 27.63% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nigeria win was 0-1 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.99%) and 0-2 (8.58%). The likeliest Saudi Arabia win was 1-0 (8.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.

Result
Saudi Arabia	Draw	Nigeria
27.63% ( -1.28)	26.54% ( -0.45)	45.83% ( 1.73)

Both teams to score 49.4% (

0.55)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.06% (

1.08)

54.93% (

-1.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.78% (

0.89)

76.22% (

-0.88)

Saudi Arabia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.92% (

-0.43)

35.07% (

0.43)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.18% (

-0.45)

71.82% (

0.45)

Nigeria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.09% (

1.33)

23.91% (

-1.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.87% (

1.87)

58.12% (

-1.87)

Score Analysis

Saudi Arabia 27.63%

Nigeria 45.84%

Draw 26.53%

Saudi Arabia	Draw	Nigeria
1-0 @ 8.79% ( -0.48) 2-1 @ 6.59% ( -0.18) 2-0 @ 4.6% ( -0.31) 3-1 @ 2.3% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 1.65% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.61% ( -0.13) Other @ 2.1% Total : 27.63%	1-1 @ 12.57% ( -0.19) 0-0 @ 8.39% ( -0.36) 2-2 @ 4.71% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.86% Total : 26.53%	0-1 @ 12% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 8.99% ( 0.21) 0-2 @ 8.58% ( 0.3) 1-3 @ 4.29% ( 0.26) 0-3 @ 4.09% ( 0.29) 2-3 @ 2.25% ( 0.11) 1-4 @ 1.53% ( 0.15) 0-4 @ 1.46% ( 0.16) Other @ 2.63% Total : 45.84%