Friendlies 1

Sep 12, 2023 at 5.30pm UK

St. James' Park

Saudi Arabia
0 - 1
South Korea

Alhamddan (90')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Kyu-Sung (32')
Hee-chan (38'), In-beom (53')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's friendly clash between Saudi Arabia and South Korea, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Saudi Arabia

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Saudi Arabia 1-3 Costa Rica
Friday, September 8 at 8pm in International Friendlies

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Argentina	3	3	6
2	Poland	3	0	4
3	Mexico	3	-1	4
4	Saudi Arabia	3	-2	3

South Korea

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Wales 0-0 South Korea
Thursday, September 7 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies

Current Group H Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Portugal	3	2	6
2	South Korea	3	0	4
3	Uruguay	3	0	4
4	Ghana	3	-2	3

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Korea win with a probability of 50.77%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Saudi Arabia had a probability of 23.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a South Korea win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.9%) and 1-2 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.22%), while for a Saudi Arabia win it was 1-0 (8.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for South Korea in this match.

Result
Saudi Arabia	Draw	South Korea
23.31% ( -0.11)	25.92% ( -0.08)	50.77% ( 0.19)

Both teams to score 47.42% (

0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.36% (

0.2)

55.64% (

-0.2)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.21% (

0.16)

76.79% (

-0.16)

Saudi Arabia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.77% (

0.01)

39.23% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.06% (

0.01)

75.94% (

-0.01)

South Korea Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.03% (

0.16)

21.97% (

-0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.74% (

0.25)

55.26% (

-0.24)

Score Analysis

Saudi Arabia 23.31%

South Korea 50.77%

Draw 25.92%

Saudi Arabia	Draw	South Korea
1-0 @ 8.06% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 5.72% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 3.77% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 1.78% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.35% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.18% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.44% Total : 23.31%	1-1 @ 12.22% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 8.62% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 4.33% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.75% Total : 25.92%	0-1 @ 13.06% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 9.9% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 9.26% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 5% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 4.68% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.19% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.9% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.77% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.01% Total : 50.77%