Angola national football team
Friendlies 3
Oct 13, 2023 at 3pm UK
Estadio Nacional de OMBAKA
Mozambique national football team

Angola
1 - 1
Mozambique

Gelson (85')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Bangal (71')
Coverage of the International Friendlies Friendlies 3 clash between Angola and Mozambique.

Form, Standings, Stats

Angola

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Iran 4-0 Angola
Tuesday, September 12 at 4.30pm in International Friendlies

Mozambique

Last Game: Mozambique 3-2 Benin
Saturday, September 9 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Angola win with a probability of 60.6%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Mozambique had a probability of 14.94%.

The most likely scoreline for an Angola win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.42%) and 2-1 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.93%), while for a Mozambique win it was 0-1 (6.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.

Result
AngolaDrawMozambique
60.6% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)24.46% (0.018999999999998 0.02)14.94% (0.041 0.04)
Both teams to score 38.75% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.87% (0.007000000000005 0.01)60.13% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.66% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)80.34% (-0.0020000000000095 -0)
Angola Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.21% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)19.78% (0.023 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.16% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)51.84% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Mozambique Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
48.31% (0.066000000000003 0.07)51.69% (-0.062000000000005 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.2% (0.043999999999999 0.04)85.8% (-0.039999999999992 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Angola 60.59%
    Mozambique 14.94%
    Draw 24.44%
AngolaDrawMozambique
1-0 @ 16.56% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 13.42% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.86% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 7.25% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.79% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
4-0 @ 2.94% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.94% (-0.002 -0)
3-2 @ 1.58% (0.0029999999999999 0)
5-0 @ 0.95% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 60.59%
1-1 @ 10.93% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 10.22%
2-2 @ 2.92% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 24.44%
0-1 @ 6.75% (0.011 0.01)
1-2 @ 3.61% (0.01 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.23% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 14.94%

Head to Head
Jul 7, 2023 5pm
Group Stage
Mozambique
1-1
Angola
Antonio (83')
Abudo Zacarias (31'), Bonde (57'), Danito (71')
Benarfa (3')
Ganga (45+1'), Dianzenza (61')