Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage

Sep 7, 2023 at 5pm UK

Estadio Nacional da Tundavala

Angola
0 - 0
Madagascar

Ilaimaharitra (71'), Rakotohasimbola (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Angola and Madagascar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Angola

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Angola 4-2 Lesotho
Wednesday, July 12 at 2pm in COSAFA Cup

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Mali	3	4	7
2	Tunisia	3	0	3
3	Angola	3	-1	2
4	Mauritania	3	-3	2

Madagascar

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Madagascar 0-0 Ghana
Sunday, June 18 at 3pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Madagascar	3	3	7
2	Nigeria	3	0	6
3	Guinea	3	1	4
4	Burundi	3	-4	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Angola win with a probability of 68.96%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Madagascar had a probability of 10%.

The most likely scoreline for an Angola win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (15.79%) and 3-0 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (9.39%), while for a Madagascar win it was 0-1 (4.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.

Result
Angola	Draw	Madagascar
68.96% ( -0.01)	21.04% ( -0.01)	10% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 34.63% (

0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.11% (

0.08)

57.88% (

-0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.4% (

0.06)

78.6% (

-0.06)

Angola Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.02% (

0.02)

15.98% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.71% (

0.04)

45.29% (

-0.05)

Madagascar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

41.22% (

0.08)

58.78% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

9.98% (

0.04)

90.01% (

-0.05)

Score Analysis

Angola 68.95%

Madagascar 10%

Draw 21.04%

Angola	Draw	Madagascar
1-0 @ 17.22% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 15.79% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 9.65% ( -0) 2-1 @ 8.39% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.13% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 4.43% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.35% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.62% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.36% ( 0.01) Other @ 3% Total : 68.95%	0-0 @ 9.39% ( -0.03) 1-1 @ 9.15% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 2.23% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.26% Total : 21.04%	0-1 @ 4.99% ( -0) 1-2 @ 2.43% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 1.33% ( 0) Other @ 1.25% Total : 10%