Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Sep 7, 2023 5.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Nacional da Tundavala
  • yellowcard Marco Ilaimaharitra 71'
  • yellowcard Razakanirina Rakotohasimbola 84'

Angola vs Madagascar - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Angola

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last game
Jun 17, 2023 2.00pm
CAR 1 - 2 Angola

Madagascar

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last game
Jun 18, 2023 3.00pm
Madagascar 0 - 0 Ghana

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Angola win with a probability of 68.96%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Madagascar had a probability of 10%.

The most likely scoreline for an Angola win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (15.79%) and 3-0 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (9.39%), while for a Madagascar win it was 0-1 (4.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.

Result

Angola 68.96% (-0.01)
Draw 21.04% (-0.02)
Madagascar 10% (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

34.63% (+0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5 42.11% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 57.88% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 21.4% (+0.06)
Under 3.5 78.6% (-0.07)
Over 4.5 9.15% (+0.04)
Under 4.5 90.84% (-0.04)

Angola Goals

Over 0.5 84.02% (+0.03)
Under 0.5 15.98% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 54.71% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 45.29% (-0.05)

Madagascar Goals

Over 0.5 41.22% (+0.09)
Under 0.5 58.78% (-0.09)
Over 1.5 9.98% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 90.01% (-0.05)

Score analysis

Angola 68.95%
Draw 21.04%
Madagascar 10%
Angola
1-0 @ 17.22% (-0.05)
2-0 @ 15.79% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 9.65% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 8.39% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 5.13% (+0.02)
4-0 @ 4.43% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 2.35% (+0.01)
5-0 @ 1.62% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.36% (+0.01)
Other @ 3%
Total : 68.95%
Draw
0-0 @ 9.39% (-0.03)
1-1 @ 9.15% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 2.23% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 21.04%
Madagascar
0-1 @ 4.99% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 2.43% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 1.33% (+0.01)
Other @ 1.25%
Total : 10%

Head to Head

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Jun 5, 2022 2.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Stade Municipal de Mahamasina
  • Njiva Rakotoharimalala 36' goal
  • Loic Lapoussin 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Manuel Cafumana 37'
  • goal Gelson 43'
  • yellowcard Mbala N'Zola 90'+3'