Friendlies 3

Jan 6, 2024 at 2pm UK

FNB Stadium

Mozambique
2 - 0
Lesotho

Mandava (27'), King (81' pen.)

FT(HT: 1-0)

Coverage of the International Friendlies Friendlies 3 clash between Mozambique and Lesotho.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mozambique

All competitions

Last Game: Mozambique 1-2 Cameroon
Wednesday, December 31 at 7pm in Africa Cup of Nations

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Cape Verde	3	4	7
2	Egypt	3	0	3
3	Ghana	3	-1	2
4	Mozambique	3	-3	2

Lesotho

Last Game: Lesotho 0-1 Malawi
Tuesday, November 18 at 2pm in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mozambique win with a probability of 41.39%. A win for Lesotho had a probability of 30.87% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mozambique win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (7.83%). The likeliest Lesotho win was 0-1 (10.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mozambique would win this match.

Result
Mozambique	Draw	Lesotho
41.39% ( -0.06)	27.74% ( -0)	30.87% ( 0.07)

Both teams to score 47.61% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.96% (

0.04)

58.04% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.28% (

0.03)

78.72% (

-0.03)

Mozambique Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.4% (

-0.02)

27.6% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.87% (

-0.02)

63.13% (

0.03)

Lesotho Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.76% (

0.07)

34.24% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.06% (

0.08)

70.94% (

-0.07)

Score Analysis

Mozambique 41.38%

Lesotho 30.87%

Draw 27.73%

Mozambique	Draw	Lesotho
1-0 @ 12.16% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.39% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.83% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 3.6% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.36% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.93% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.16% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.08% ( -0) Other @ 1.86% Total : 41.38%	1-1 @ 13.03% 0-0 @ 9.45% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.5% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.75% Total : 27.73%	0-1 @ 10.12% 1-2 @ 6.99% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.43% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.5% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.94% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.61% ( 0) Other @ 2.29% Total : 30.87%