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World Cup

Mozambique national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage
Nov 19, 2023 at 1pm UK
Estadio Nacional do Zimpeto
Algeria national football team

Mozambique
0 - 2
Algeria


Domingues (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Chaibi (69'), Zerrouki (80')
Bensebaini (50'), El Amine Amoura (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Mozambique and Algeria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mozambique

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Botswana 2-3 Mozambique
Thursday, November 16 at 1pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Algeria

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Algeria 3-1 Somalia
Thursday, November 16 at 4pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Algeria win with a probability of 56.36%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Mozambique had a probability of 18.69%.

The most likely scoreline for an Algeria win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.58%) and 1-2 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.61%), while for a Mozambique win it was 1-0 (7.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Algeria would win this match.

Result
MozambiqueDrawAlgeria
18.69% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)24.95% (0.0020000000000024 0)56.36% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Both teams to score 44.06% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.14% (-0.052 -0.05)56.86% (0.053999999999995 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.22% (-0.041999999999998 -0.04)77.78% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Mozambique Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.18% (-0.077000000000005 -0.08)44.82% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.21% (-0.064 -0.06)80.79% (0.066000000000003 0.07)
Algeria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.85% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)20.15% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.57% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)52.43% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Mozambique 18.69%
    Algeria 56.34%
    Draw 24.95%
MozambiqueDrawAlgeria
1-0 @ 7.25% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-1 @ 4.66% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-0 @ 2.91% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-1 @ 1.25% (-0.006 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 1.63%
Total : 18.69%
1-1 @ 11.61%
0-0 @ 9.03% (0.019 0.02)
2-2 @ 3.73% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 24.95%
0-1 @ 14.46% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-2 @ 11.58% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 9.3% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-3 @ 6.19% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.97% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 2.48% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.99% (-0.006 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.99% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 56.34%

How you voted: Mozambique vs Algeria

Mozambique
18.5%
Draw
14.8%
Algeria
66.7%
27
Head to Head
Jan 21, 2023 7pm
Group Stage
Mozambique
0-1
Algeria
Dehiri (7')