World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Nov 19, 2023 1.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Nacional do Zimpeto
  • Domingues 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ramy Bensebaini 50'
  • goal Fares Chaibi 69'
  • yellowcard Mohamed El Amine Amoura 76'
  • goal Ramiz Zerrouki 80'

Mozambique vs Algeria - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Mozambique

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Last game
Nov 16, 2023 1.00pm
Botswana 2 - 3 Mozambique

Algeria

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Last game
Nov 16, 2023 4.00pm
Algeria 3 - 1 Somalia

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Algeria win with a probability of 56.36%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Mozambique had a probability of 18.69%.

The most likely scoreline for an Algeria win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.58%) and 1-2 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.61%), while for a Mozambique win it was 1-0 (7.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Algeria would win this match.

Result

Mozambique 18.69% (-0.04)
Draw 24.95% (+0.01)
Algeria 56.36% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

44.06% (-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5 43.14% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 56.86% (+0.06)
Over 3.5 22.22% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 77.78% (+0.05)
Over 4.5 9.64% (-0.03)
Under 4.5 90.36% (+0.03)

Mozambique Goals

Over 0.5 55.18% (-0.08)
Under 0.5 44.82% (+0.08)
Over 1.5 19.21% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 80.79% (+0.07)

Algeria Goals

Over 0.5 79.85% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 20.15% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 47.57% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 52.43% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Mozambique 18.69%
Draw 24.95%
Algeria 56.34%
Mozambique
1-0 @ 7.25% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 4.66% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 2.91% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 1.25% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 18.69%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.61%
0-0 @ 9.03% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 3.73% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 24.95%
Algeria
0-1 @ 14.46% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 11.58% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 9.3% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 6.19% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 4.97% (-0.01)
0-4 @ 2.48% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.99% (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.99% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 56.34%

Head to Head

African Nations Championship
Jan 21, 2023 7.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • goal Hocine Dehiri 7'