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World Cup

Botswana national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage
Nov 16, 2023 at 1pm UK
Francistown Stadium
Mozambique national football team

Botswana
2 - 3
Mozambique

Tlhalefang (74'), Ngele (85')
Velaphi (88'), Ditlhokwe (90'), Mangolo (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Bauque (14'), Ratifo (52'), Muiomo (75')
Dove (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Botswana and Mozambique, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Botswana

Last Game: Botswana 2-1 Eswatini
Monday, October 16 at 3pm in International Friendlies

Mozambique

All competitions
Last Game: Mozambique 2-3 Nigeria
Monday, October 16 at 4pm in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botswana win with a probability of 40.08%. A draw had a probability of 31.2% and a win for Mozambique had a probability of 28.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Botswana win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.34%) and 2-1 (7.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.43%), while for a Mozambique win it was 0-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.

Result
BotswanaDrawMozambique
40.08% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08)31.21% (0.010999999999999 0.01)28.71% (0.068000000000001 0.07)
Both teams to score 38.02% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
30.6% (-0.012 -0.01)69.4% (0.012 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
13.15% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)86.85% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Botswana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.88% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)34.12% (0.055 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.19% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)70.81% (0.058999999999997 0.06)
Mozambique Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.71% (0.045999999999999 0.05)42.29% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.31% (0.039999999999999 0.04)78.69% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Botswana 40.08%
    Mozambique 28.7%
    Draw 31.21%
BotswanaDrawMozambique
1-0 @ 15.51% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 8.34% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
2-1 @ 7.18% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.99% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.57% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.11% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 40.08%
0-0 @ 14.43% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-1 @ 13.35% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.09%
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 31.21%
0-1 @ 12.41% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 5.75% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.34% (0.017 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.65% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 1.53% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 28.7%

How you voted: Botswana vs Mozambique

Botswana
51.4%
Draw
32.4%
Mozambique
16.2%
37