World Cup Qualifying - Africa
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Ahmed Abdullahi Abdi
2'
-
Baghdad Bounedjah
31'
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Islam Slimani
80'
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Yusuf Ahmed
65'
-
Abdi Mohamed
75'
Algeria vs Somalia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Algeria win with a probability of 95.29%. A draw had a probability of 4.3% and a win for Somalia had a probability of 0.42%.
The most likely scoreline for an Algeria win was 3-0 with a probability of 19.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (17.43%) and 4-0 (16.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (3.05%), while for a Somalia win it was 0-1 (0.33%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Algeria would win this match.
Result
Algeria
95.29%
▲
(+0.01)
Draw
4.29%
▼
(-0.01)
Somalia
0.42%
▼
(-0.10)
Both Teams to Score:
10%
▼
(-0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5
67.72%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 2.5
32.28%
▲
(+0.03)
Over 3.5
46.11%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 3.5
53.89%
▲
(+0.03)
Over 4.5
27.25%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 4.5
72.75%
▲
(+0.03)
Algeria Goals
Over 0.5
96.59%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 0.5
3.41%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 1.5
85.09%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 1.5
14.91%
▲
(+0.01)
Somalia Goals
Over 0.5
10.35%
▼
(-0.07)
Under 0.5
89.65%
▲
(+0.07)
Over 1.5
0.55%
▼
(-0.50)
Under 1.5
99.45%
▲
(+0.01)
Score analysis
Algeria
95.27%
Draw
4.29%
Somalia
0.42%
Algeria
3-0
@
19.64%
▲
(+0.02)
2-0 @ 17.43% ▲ (+0.02)
4-0 @ 16.59% ▲ (+0.02)
5-0 @ 11.22% ▲ (+0.01)
1-0 @ 10.31% ▲ (+0.01)
6-0 @ 6.32% ▲ (+0.01)
7-0 @ 3.05% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 2.15% ▼ (-0.02)
2-1 @ 1.91% ▼ (-0.02)
4-1 @ 1.81% ▼ (-0.02)
8-0 @ 1.29% ▲ (+0.01)
5-1 @ 1.23% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 95.27%
2-0 @ 17.43% ▲ (+0.02)
4-0 @ 16.59% ▲ (+0.02)
5-0 @ 11.22% ▲ (+0.01)
1-0 @ 10.31% ▲ (+0.01)
6-0 @ 6.32% ▲ (+0.01)
7-0 @ 3.05% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 2.15% ▼ (-0.02)
2-1 @ 1.91% ▼ (-0.02)
4-1 @ 1.81% ▼ (-0.02)
8-0 @ 1.29% ▲ (+0.01)
5-1 @ 1.23% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 95.27%
Draw
0-0
@
3.05%
▲
(+0.01)
1-1 @ 1.13% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 4.29%
1-1 @ 1.13% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 4.29%
Somalia
Other @
0.42%
Total : 0.42%
Total : 0.42%