World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage

Nov 21, 2023 at 1pm UK

Moses Mabhida Stadium

Lesotho
0 - 0
Benin

Mkwanazi (63')

Olaitan (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Lesotho and Benin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lesotho

Last Game: Nigeria 1-1 Lesotho
Thursday, November 16 at 4pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Benin

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: South Africa 2-1 Benin
Saturday, November 18 at 1pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Current Group F Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Ghana	3	2	5
2	Cameroon	3	2	5
3	Benin	3	0	3
4	Guinea-Bissau	3	-4	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benin win with a probability of 46.96%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Lesotho had a probability of 25.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benin win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.56%) and 1-2 (8.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.83%), while for a Lesotho win it was 1-0 (9.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.

Result
Lesotho	Draw	Benin
25.14% ( -0.55)	27.9% ( 0.17)	46.96% ( 0.37)

Both teams to score 43.83% (

-0.85)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.83% (

-0.87)

61.16% (

0.86)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.88% (

-0.66)

81.11% (

0.65)

Lesotho Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.35% (

-0.98)

40.64% (

0.98)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.76% (

-0.9)

77.23% (

0.89)

Benin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.84% (

-0.22)

26.15% (

0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.77% (

-0.29)

61.23% (

0.28)

Score Analysis

Lesotho 25.14%

Benin 46.95%

Draw 27.89%

Lesotho	Draw	Benin
1-0 @ 9.57% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 5.78% ( -0.16) 2-0 @ 4.31% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 1.73% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 1.29% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 1.16% ( -0.07) Other @ 1.29% Total : 25.14%	1-1 @ 12.83% 0-0 @ 10.62% ( 0.33) 2-2 @ 3.88% ( -0.13) Other @ 0.56% Total : 27.89%	0-1 @ 14.25% ( 0.37) 0-2 @ 9.56% ( 0.19) 1-2 @ 8.61% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 4.27% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 3.85% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.73% ( -0.07) 0-4 @ 1.43% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.29% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.96% Total : 46.95%