World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Nov 21, 2023 1.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Moses Mabhida Stadium
  • Motlomelo Mkwanazi 63' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Junior Olaitan 86'

Lesotho vs Benin - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Lesotho

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Last game
Nov 16, 2023 4.00pm
Nigeria 1 - 1 Lesotho

Benin

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Last game
Nov 18, 2023 1.00pm
South Africa 2 - 1 Benin

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benin win with a probability of 46.96%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Lesotho had a probability of 25.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benin win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.56%) and 1-2 (8.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.83%), while for a Lesotho win it was 1-0 (9.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.

Result

Lesotho 25.14% (-0.55)
Draw 27.9% (+0.17)
Benin 46.96% (+0.38)

Both Teams to Score: 

43.83% (-0.86)

Goals

Over 2.5 38.83% (-0.87)
Under 2.5 61.16% (+0.87)
Over 3.5 18.88% (-0.66)
Under 3.5 81.11% (+0.66)
Over 4.5 7.7% (-0.38)
Under 4.5 92.29% (+0.37)

Lesotho Goals

Over 0.5 59.35% (-0.99)
Under 0.5 40.64% (+0.98)
Over 1.5 22.76% (-0.90)
Under 1.5 77.23% (+0.89)

Benin Goals

Over 0.5 73.84% (-0.22)
Under 0.5 26.15% (+0.21)
Over 1.5 38.77% (-0.29)
Under 1.5 61.23% (+0.28)

Score analysis

Lesotho 25.14%
Draw 27.89%
Benin 46.95%
Lesotho
1-0 @ 9.57% (+0.06)
2-1 @ 5.78% (-0.16)
2-0 @ 4.31% (-0.10)
3-1 @ 1.73% (-0.10)
3-0 @ 1.29% (-0.07)
3-2 @ 1.16% (-0.08)
Other @ 1.29%
Total : 25.14%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.83%
0-0 @ 10.62% (+0.34)
2-2 @ 3.88% (-0.13)
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 27.89%
Benin
0-1 @ 14.25% (+0.37)
0-2 @ 9.56% (+0.20)
1-2 @ 8.61% (-0.06)
0-3 @ 4.27% (+0.07)
1-3 @ 3.85% (-0.05)
2-3 @ 1.73% (-0.07)
0-4 @ 1.43% (+0.02)
1-4 @ 1.29% (-0.03)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 46.95%