World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage

Nov 18, 2023 at 1pm UK

Moses Mabhida Stadium

South Africa
2 - 1
Benin

Tau (2'), Mudau (45+2')
Mokoena (54')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Mounie (70')
Hountondji (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between South Africa and Benin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

South Africa

All competitions

Last Game: Ivory Coast 1-1 South Africa
Tuesday, October 17 at 8pm in International Friendlies

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Tunisia	0	0	0
2	Mali	0	0	0
3	South Africa	0	0	0
4	Namibia	0	0	0

Benin

All competitions

Last Game: Madagascar 2-1 Benin
Tuesday, October 17 at 4.30pm in International Friendlies

Current Group F Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Ghana	3	2	5
2	Cameroon	3	2	5
3	Benin	3	0	3
4	Guinea-Bissau	3	-4	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Africa win with a probability of 59.3%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Benin had a probability of 16.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a South Africa win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.55%) and 2-1 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.17%), while for a Benin win it was 0-1 (6.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for South Africa in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for South Africa.

Result
South Africa	Draw	Benin
59.3% ( -0.25)	24.28% ( 0.14)	16.41% ( 0.11)

Both teams to score 41.94% (

-0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.51% (

-0.32)

57.49% (

0.32)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.71% (

-0.26)

78.29% (

0.25)

South Africa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.74% (

-0.22)

19.26% (

0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.02% (

-0.36)

50.98% (

0.36)

Benin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

51.94% (

-0.05)

48.05% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.73% (

-0.04)

83.27% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

South Africa 59.29%

Benin 16.41%

Draw 24.28%

South Africa	Draw	Benin
1-0 @ 15.24% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 12.55% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.2% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 6.9% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 5.05% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 2.84% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 2.08% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 1.85% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 0.94% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.65% Total : 59.29%	1-1 @ 11.17% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 9.25% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 3.37% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.49% Total : 24.28%	0-1 @ 6.78% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 4.09% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.49% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1% ( 0) Other @ 2.05% Total : 16.41%