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Africa Cup of Nations

Gabon national football team
Africa Cup of Nations | Group Stage
Dec 28, 2025 at 12.30pm UK
 
Mozambique national football team

Gabon
vs.
Mozambique

Coverage of the Africa Cup of Nations Group Stage clash between Gabon and Mozambique.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gabon

All competitions
Last Game: Nigeria 4-1 Gabon
Thursday, November 13 at 4pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Next Game: Cameroon vs. Gabon
Wednesday, December 24 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations

Mozambique

All competitions
Last Game: Chad 2-2 Mozambique
Monday, November 17 at 3pm in International Friendlies
Next Game: Ivory Coast vs. Mozambique
Wednesday, December 24 at 5.30pm in Africa Cup of Nations

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Gabon win with a probability of 50.3%. A draw has a probability of 26.62% and a win for Mozambique has a probability of 23.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gabon win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.12%) and 2-1 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.41%) , while for a Mozambique win it is 0-1 (8.52%).

Result
GabonDrawMozambique
50.3% (0.017000000000003 0.02)26.62% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)23.08% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Both teams to score 45.28% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.69% (0.015000000000001 0.02)58.3% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.07% (0.012999999999998 0.01)78.93% (-0.012999999999991 -0.01)
Gabon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.69% (0.015000000000001 0.02)23.3% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.75% (0.021999999999998 0.02)57.25% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Mozambique Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.04%40.96% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.48% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)77.52% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    Gabon 50.29%
    Mozambique 23.08%
    Draw 26.62%
GabonDrawMozambique
1-0 @ 13.9%
2-0 @ 10.12%
2-1 @ 9.04% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-0 @ 4.92% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 4.39% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 1.96% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.79% (0.002 0)
4-1 @ 1.6% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 50.29%
1-1 @ 12.41%
0-0 @ 9.55% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.03% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 26.62%
0-1 @ 8.52% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-2 @ 5.54% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 3.8% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 1.65%
2-3 @ 1.2%
0-3 @ 1.13% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.24%
Total : 23.08%