Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cameroon win with a probability of 47.07%. A win for Gabon had a probability of 26.48% and a draw had a probability of 26.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cameroon win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (8.93%). The likeliest Gabon win was 0-1 (8.64%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.