Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations | Group Stage

Jan 14, 2024 at 8pm UK

Stade de l'Amitie

Ghana
1 - 2
Cape Verde

Djiku (56')
Djiku (10'), Baba (48'), Paintsil (54')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Monteiro (17'), Rodrigues (90+2')
Duarte (64'), Rocha Santos (74'), Rodrigues (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Africa Cup of Nations clash between Ghana and Cape Verde, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ghana

All competitions

Last Game: Ghana 0-0 Namibia
Monday, January 8 at 8pm in International Friendlies

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Cape Verde	0	0	0
2	Ghana	0	0	0
3	Egypt	0	0	0
4	Mozambique	0	0	0

Cape Verde

All competitions

Last Game: Tunisia 2-0 Cape Verde
Wednesday, January 10 at 5.30pm in International Friendlies

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Cape Verde	0	0	0
2	Ghana	0	0	0
3	Egypt	0	0	0
4	Mozambique	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ghana win with a probability of 64.52%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Cape Verde had a probability of 14.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ghana win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.59%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.05%), while for a Cape Verde win it was 0-1 (5.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.

Result
Ghana	Draw	Cape Verde
64.52% ( -0.07)	21.27% ( 0.04)	14.2% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 45.49% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.01% (

-0.07)

49.98% (

0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.03% (

-0.06)

71.96% (

0.06)

Ghana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.21% (

-0.05)

14.78% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.95% (

-0.09)

43.04% (

0.08)

Cape Verde Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.38% (

0.01)

46.61% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.8% (

0.01)

82.19% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Ghana 64.52%

Cape Verde 14.2%

Draw 21.26%

Ghana	Draw	Cape Verde
1-0 @ 13.17% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 12.59% 2-1 @ 9.61% 3-0 @ 8.02% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 6.12% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 3.84% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.93% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.34% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.47% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.12% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.12% ( -0) Other @ 2.2% Total : 64.52%	1-1 @ 10.05% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.89% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 3.67% ( 0) Other @ 0.65% Total : 21.26%	0-1 @ 5.26% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 3.84% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.01% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 0.98% ( 0) 2-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 1.19% Total : 14.2%