Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ghana win with a probability of 64.52%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Cape Verde had a probability of 14.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ghana win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.59%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.05%), while for a Cape Verde win it was 0-1 (5.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.