Friendlies 1

Oct 18, 2023 at 1.30am UK

Nippert Stadium

USA
4 - 0
Ghana

Reyna (10', 10', 39', 39'), Pulisic (19' pen., 19' pen.), Balogun (22', 22')

FT(HT: 8-0)

Addo (30'), Addo (30'), Partey (35'), Partey (35')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's friendly clash between USA and Ghana, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

USA

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: USA 1-3 Germany
Saturday, October 14 at 8pm in International Friendlies

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	USA	3	12	7
2	Jamaica	3	8	7
3	Trinidad and Tobago	3	-6	3
4	Saint Kitts and Nevis	3	-14	0

Ghana

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Mexico 2-0 Ghana
Sunday, October 15 at 2am in International Friendlies

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Cape Verde	0	0	0
2	Ghana	0	0	0
3	Egypt	0	0	0
4	Mozambique	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA win with a probability of 58.33%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Ghana had a probability of 17.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a USA win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.6%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.2%), while for a Ghana win it was 0-1 (6.57%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that USA would win this match.

Result
USA	Draw	Ghana
58.33% ( 0.32)	23.79% ( 0.06)	17.88% ( -0.37)

Both teams to score 45.89% (

-0.8)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.32% (

-0.72)

53.68% (

0.73)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.83% (

-0.62)

75.17% (

0.62)

USA Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.81% (

-0.15)

18.18% (

0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.82% (

-0.26)

49.18% (

0.26)

Ghana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.08% (

-0.88)

43.92% (

0.88)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.94% (

-0.73)

80.05% (

0.73)

Score Analysis

USA 58.33%

Ghana 17.88%

Draw 23.78%

USA	Draw	Ghana
1-0 @ 13.61% ( 0.32) 2-0 @ 11.6% ( 0.22) 2-1 @ 9.55% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 6.59% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 5.43% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 2.81% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.31% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.23% ( -0.08) 5-0 @ 0.96% ( 0) 4-2 @ 0.95% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.29% Total : 58.33%	1-1 @ 11.2% 0-0 @ 7.99% ( 0.23) 2-2 @ 3.93% ( -0.12) Other @ 0.67% Total : 23.78%	0-1 @ 6.57% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 4.61% ( -0.12) 0-2 @ 2.7% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 1.26% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.06) Other @ 1.66% Total : 17.88%