/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fusalog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fghalog.png)
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Giovanni Reyna
10'
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Giovanni Reyna
10'
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Christian Pulisic
19'
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Christian Pulisic
19'
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Folarin Balogun
22'
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Folarin Balogun
22'
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Giovanni Reyna
39'
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Giovanni Reyna
39'
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Edmund Addo
30'
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Edmund Addo
30'
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Thomas Partey
35'
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Thomas Partey
35'
USA vs Ghana - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA win with a probability of 58.33%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Ghana had a probability of 17.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a USA win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.6%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.2%), while for a Ghana win it was 0-1 (6.57%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that USA would win this match.
Result
USA
58.33%
▲
(+0.32)
Draw
23.79%
▲
(+0.06)
Ghana
17.88%
▼
(-0.38)
Both Teams to Score:
45.89%
▼
(-0.81)
Goals
Over 2.5
46.32%
▼
(-0.73)
Under 2.5
53.68%
▲
(+0.73)
Over 3.5
24.83%
▼
(-0.62)
Under 3.5
75.17%
▲
(+0.62)
Over 4.5
11.25%
▼
(-0.40)
Under 4.5
88.75%
▲
(+0.40)
USA Goals
Over 0.5
81.81%
▼
(-0.16)
Under 0.5
18.18%
▲
(+0.16)
Over 1.5
50.82%
▼
(-0.26)
Under 1.5
49.18%
▲
(+0.26)
Ghana Goals
Over 0.5
56.08%
▼
(-0.88)
Under 0.5
43.92%
▲
(+0.88)
Over 1.5
19.94%
▼
(-0.74)
Under 1.5
80.05%
▲
(+0.74)
Score analysis
USA
58.33%
Draw
23.78%
Ghana
17.88%
USA
1-0
@
13.61%
▲
(+0.33)
2-0 @ 11.6% ▲ (+0.22)
2-1 @ 9.55% ▼ (-0.06)
3-0 @ 6.59% ▲ (+0.10)
3-1 @ 5.43% ▼ (-0.06)
4-0 @ 2.81% ▲ (+0.03)
4-1 @ 2.31% ▼ (-0.04)
3-2 @ 2.23% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 4.2%
Total : 58.33%
2-0 @ 11.6% ▲ (+0.22)
2-1 @ 9.55% ▼ (-0.06)
3-0 @ 6.59% ▲ (+0.10)
3-1 @ 5.43% ▼ (-0.06)
4-0 @ 2.81% ▲ (+0.03)
4-1 @ 2.31% ▼ (-0.04)
3-2 @ 2.23% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 4.2%
Total : 58.33%
Draw
1-1
@
11.2%
0-0 @ 7.99% ▲ (+0.23)
2-2 @ 3.93% ▼ (-0.12)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 23.78%
0-0 @ 7.99% ▲ (+0.23)
2-2 @ 3.93% ▼ (-0.12)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 23.78%
Ghana
0-1
@
6.57%
▲
(+0.03)
1-2 @ 4.61% ▼ (-0.12)
0-2 @ 2.7% ▼ (-0.06)
1-3 @ 1.26% ▼ (-0.07)
2-3 @ 1.08% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 1.66%
Total : 17.88%
1-2 @ 4.61% ▼ (-0.12)
0-2 @ 2.7% ▼ (-0.06)
1-3 @ 1.26% ▼ (-0.07)
2-3 @ 1.08% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 1.66%
Total : 17.88%