Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ghana win with a probability of 44.85%. A draw had a probability of 29% and a win for Comoros had a probability of 26.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ghana win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.28%) and 1-2 (8.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.07%), while for a Comoros win it was 1-0 (10.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.