Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central African Republic win with a probability of 42.08%. A win for Comoros had a probability of 29.18% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Central African Republic win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.35%) and 1-2 (8.15%). The likeliest Comoros win was 1-0 (10.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.21%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Comoros would win this match.