European Championship
Jun 18, 2024 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Red Bull Arena
  • Rafael Leao 39' yellowcard
  • Robin Hranac 69' goal
  • Francisco Conceicao 90'+2' goal
  • Francisco Conceicao 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Patrik Schick 57'
  • goal Lukas Provod 62'

Portugal vs Czech Republic - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Result
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Portugal

All competitions

Czech Republic

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portugal win with a probability of 46.31%. A win for Czech Republic had a probability of 28.93% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portugal win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (7.71%). The likeliest Czech Republic win was 0-1 (7.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Portugal in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Portugal.

Result

Portugal 46.31% (-3.49)
Draw 24.75% (+1.46)
Czech Republic 28.93% (+2.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.84% (-3.36)

Goals

Over 2.5 53.05% (-5.14)
Under 2.5 46.95% (+5.14)
Over 3.5 30.8% (-4.99)
Under 3.5 69.2% (+4.99)
Over 4.5 15.23% (-3.63)
Under 4.5 84.77% (+3.63)

Portugal Goals

Over 0.5 79.66% (-3.40)
Under 0.5 20.34% (+3.40)
Over 1.5 47.27% (-5.72)
Under 1.5 52.73% (+5.72)

Czech Republic Goals

Over 0.5 70.09% (-1.18)
Under 0.5 29.9% (+1.18)
Over 1.5 34% (-1.44)
Under 1.5 66% (+1.44)

Score analysis

Portugal 46.31%
Draw 24.75%
Czech Republic 28.93%
Portugal
1-0 @ 9.69% (+1.05)
2-1 @ 9.31% (-0.26)
2-0 @ 7.71% (+0.05)
3-1 @ 4.94% (-0.72)
3-0 @ 4.1% (-0.45)
3-2 @ 2.98% (-0.55)
4-1 @ 1.97% (-0.55)
4-0 @ 1.63% (-0.39)
4-2 @ 1.19% (-0.38)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 46.31%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.69% (+0.92)
0-0 @ 6.08% (+1.22)
2-2 @ 5.62% (-0.35)
3-3 @ 1.2% (-0.27)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.75%
Czech Republic
0-1 @ 7.34% (+1.28)
1-2 @ 7.06% (+0.34)
0-2 @ 4.43% (+0.65)
1-3 @ 2.84% (+0.05)
2-3 @ 2.26% (-0.22)
0-3 @ 1.78% (+0.21)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 28.93%

Head to Head

Nations League
Sep 24, 2022 7.45pm
0
4
HT : 0 2
FT
  • goal Diogo Dalot 33'
  • goal Bruno Fernandes 45'+2'
  • goal Diogo Dalot 52'
  • goal Diogo Jota 82'
Nations League
Jun 9, 2022 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • William Carvalho 3' yellowcard
  • Joao Cancelo 33' goal
  • Goncalo Guedes 38' goal
  • Cristiano Ronaldo 52' yellowcard
  • Rafael Leao 87' yellowcard
  • Joao Cancelo 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Tomas Soucek 24'
  • yellowcard Ales Mateju 35'

Build-up

News
Predicted Lineups