Euro 2024

European Championship | Group Stage

Jun 18, 2024 at 8pm UK

Red Bull Arena

Portugal
2 - 1
Czech Republic

Hranac (69' og.), Conceicao (90+2')
Leao (39'), Conceicao (90+3')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Provod (62')
Schick (57')

Reaction

Portugal's Francisco Conceicao celebrates scoring against Czech Republic on June 18, 2024

Pepe, Cristiano Ronaldo create history in Portugal's dramatic Euro 2024 win

Pepe and Cristiano Ronaldo both make history in Portugal's opening Euro 2024 fixture against the Czech Republic on Tuesday night.

Jun 19, 10:41

Portugal's Francisco Conceicao celebrates scoring their second goal with teammates on June 18, 2024

Roberto Martinez praises "incredible maturity" of Portugal youngster

Portugal boss Roberto Martinez praises Francisco Conceicao after the attacker came off the bench to score the winner against Czech Republic.

Jun 19, 09:51

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Portugal

All competitions

Last Game: Portugal 3-0 Rep. Ireland
Tuesday, June 11 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies

Current Group F Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Czech Republic	0	0	0
2	Portugal	0	0	0
3	Turkey	0	0	0
4	Georgia	0	0	0

Czech Republic

All competitions

Last Game: Czech Republic 2-1 N. Macedonia
Monday, June 10 at 5pm in International Friendlies

Current Group F Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Czech Republic	0	0	0
2	Portugal	0	0	0
3	Turkey	0	0	0
4	Georgia	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portugal win with a probability of 46.31%. A win for Czech Republic had a probability of 28.93% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portugal win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (7.71%). The likeliest Czech Republic win was 0-1 (7.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Portugal in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Portugal.

Result
Portugal	Draw	Czech Republic
46.31% ( -3.49)	24.75% ( 1.45)	28.93% ( 2.04)

Both teams to score 55.84% (

-3.36)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.05% (

-5.14)

46.95% (

5.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.8% (

-4.98)

69.2% (

4.98)

Portugal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.66% (

-3.4)

20.34% (

3.4)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.27% (

-5.71)

52.73% (

5.71)

Czech Republic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.09% (

-1.17)

29.9% (

1.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34% (

-1.44)

66% (

1.44)

Score Analysis

Portugal 46.31%

Czech Republic 28.93%

Draw 24.75%

Portugal	Draw	Czech Republic
1-0 @ 9.69% ( 1.05) 2-1 @ 9.31% ( -0.26) 2-0 @ 7.71% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 4.94% ( -0.72) 3-0 @ 4.1% ( -0.45) 3-2 @ 2.98% ( -0.55) 4-1 @ 1.97% ( -0.55) 4-0 @ 1.63% ( -0.39) 4-2 @ 1.19% ( -0.38) Other @ 2.79% Total : 46.31%	1-1 @ 11.69% ( 0.92) 0-0 @ 6.08% ( 1.22) 2-2 @ 5.62% ( -0.35) 3-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.27) Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.75%	0-1 @ 7.34% ( 1.27) 1-2 @ 7.06% ( 0.34) 0-2 @ 4.43% ( 0.65) 1-3 @ 2.84% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 2.26% ( -0.22) 0-3 @ 1.78% ( 0.21) Other @ 3.22% Total : 28.93%