Form, Standings, Stats
Friday, June 7 at 4.30pm in International Friendlies
| Current Group F Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Czech Republic | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Portugal | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Turkey | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Georgia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Monday, June 3 at 6pm in International Friendlies
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | England | 8 | 18 | 20 |
| 2 | Italy | 8 | 7 | 14 |
| 3 | Ukraine | 8 | 3 | 14 |
| 4 | North Macedonia | 8 | -10 | 8 |
| 5 | Malta | 8 | -18 | 0 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Czech Republic win with a probability of 90.35%. A draw had a probability of 7.1% and a win for North Macedonia had a probability of 2.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Czech Republic win was 3-0 with a probability of 13.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.01%) and 4-0 (11.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.39%), while for a North Macedonia win it was 0-1 (1%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Czech Republic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Czech Republic | Draw | North Macedonia |
| 90.35% ( | 7.13% ( | 2.52% ( |
| Both teams to score 36.71% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 74.18% ( | 25.82% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 54.02% ( | 45.98% ( |
| Czech Republic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 96.62% ( | 3.37% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 85.19% ( | 14.8% ( |
| North Macedonia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 38% ( | 62% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 8.36% ( | 91.64% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Czech Republic | Draw | North Macedonia |
| 3-0 @ 13.57% ( 2-0 @ 12.01% ( 4-0 @ 11.49% ( 5-0 @ 7.8% ( 1-0 @ 7.09% ( 3-1 @ 6.49% ( 2-1 @ 5.74% ( 4-1 @ 5.5% ( 6-0 @ 4.4% ( 5-1 @ 3.73% ( 7-0 @ 2.13% ( 6-1 @ 2.11% ( 3-2 @ 1.55% ( 4-2 @ 1.31% ( 7-1 @ 1.02% ( 8-0 @ 0.9% ( Other @ 3.51% Total : 90.34% | 1-1 @ 3.39% ( 0-0 @ 2.09% ( 2-2 @ 1.37% ( Other @ 0.27% Total : 7.13% | 0-1 @ 1% ( Other @ 1.52% Total : 2.52% |


