Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Czech Republic win with a probability of 92.6%. A draw had a probability of 5.8% and a win for Malta had a probability of 1.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Czech Republic win was 3-0 with a probability of 14.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (12.98%) and 2-0 (12.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (2.69%), while for a Malta win it was 0-1 (0.76%). The actual scoreline of 7-1 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Czech Republic would win this match.