Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Czech Republic win with a probability of 82.99%. A draw had a probability of 11.9% and a win for Armenia had a probability of 5.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Czech Republic win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.73%) and 1-0 (10.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.63%), while for an Armenia win it was 0-1 (2.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Czech Republic would win this match.