Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kosovo win with a probability of 43.09%. A win for Armenia had a probability of 31.11% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kosovo win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.94%) and 0-2 (7.45%). The likeliest Armenia win was 1-0 (8.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Kosovo in this match.