Euro 2024

Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage

Nov 20, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Andruv stadion

Czech Republic
3 - 0
Moldova

Doudera (14'), Chory (72'), Soucek (90')
Kusej (90+2')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Revenco (24'), Caimacov (30'), Posmac (45'), Baboglo (47'), Stina (90+1')
Baboglo (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Czech Republic and Moldova, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Czech Republic

All competitions

Euro Champ Qualifying

Last Game: Poland 1-1 Czech Republic
Friday, November 17 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Albania	7	8	14
2	Czech Republic	7	3	12
3	Poland	8	0	11
4	Moldova	7	0	10
5	Faroe Islands	7	-11	1

Moldova

All competitions

Euro Champ Qualifying

Last Game: Moldova 1-1 Albania
Friday, November 17 at 5pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Albania	7	8	14
2	Czech Republic	7	3	12
3	Poland	8	0	11
4	Moldova	7	0	10
5	Faroe Islands	7	-11	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Czech Republic win with a probability of 69.15%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Moldova had a probability of 11.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Czech Republic win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.16%) and 2-1 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.13%), while for a Moldova win it was 0-1 (4.45%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Czech Republic would win this match.

Result
Czech Republic	Draw	Moldova
69.15% ( 0.11)	19.36% ( -0.09)	11.48% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 43.62% (

0.2)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.79% (

0.32)

48.21% (

-0.32)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.64% (

0.29)

70.36% (

-0.3)

Czech Republic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.17% (

0.12)

12.83% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.82% (

0.26)

39.17% (

-0.27)

Moldova Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

50.04% (

0.16)

49.96% (

-0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.37% (

0.11)

84.63% (

-0.12)

Score Analysis

Czech Republic 69.15%

Moldova 11.48%

Draw 19.36%

Czech Republic	Draw	Moldova
2-0 @ 13.51% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 13.16% ( -0.11) 2-1 @ 9.38% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 9.25% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.42% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 4.75% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 3.3% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.23% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 1.95% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.35% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.14% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.72% Total : 69.15%	1-1 @ 9.13% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.41% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 3.25% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.56% Total : 19.36%	0-1 @ 4.45% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 3.17% ( 0) 0-2 @ 1.54% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.32% Total : 11.48%