Euro 2024

Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage

Oct 17, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Infetti Ground

Malta
1 - 3
Ukraine

Mbong (12')
Marcolini (59'), Pisani (90+3')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Camenzuli (38' og.), Dovbyk (43' pen.), Mudryk (85')
Matviyenko (31'), Zubkov (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Malta and Ukraine, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Malta

All competitions

Euro Champ Qualifying

Last Game: Italy 4-0 Malta
Saturday, October 14 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	England	5	14	13
2	Italy	5	6	10
3	Ukraine	6	1	10
4	North Macedonia	6	-7	7
5	Malta	6	-14	0

Ukraine

All competitions

Euro Champ Qualifying

Last Game: Ukraine 2-0 N. Macedonia
Saturday, October 14 at 2pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	England	5	14	13
2	Italy	5	6	10
3	Ukraine	6	1	10
4	North Macedonia	6	-7	7
5	Malta	6	-14	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ukraine win with a probability of 59.6%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Malta had a probability of 18.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ukraine win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.77%) and 1-2 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.6%), while for a Malta win it was 1-0 (5.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ukraine would win this match.

Result
Malta	Draw	Ukraine
18.1% ( 0.23)	22.3% ( 0.29)	59.6% ( -0.51)

Both teams to score 50.65% (

-0.46)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.5% (

-0.85)

47.5% (

0.85)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.29% (

-0.79)

69.71% (

0.79)

Malta Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.97% (

-0.23)

40.02% (

0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.33% (

-0.21)

76.67% (

0.21)

Ukraine Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.45% (

-0.45)

15.55% (

0.46)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.51% (

-0.85)

44.49% (

0.85)

Score Analysis

Malta 18.1%

Ukraine 59.59%

Draw 22.3%

Malta	Draw	Ukraine
1-0 @ 5.7% ( 0.17) 2-1 @ 4.86% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 2.61% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 1.48% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.38% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.07% Total : 18.1%	1-1 @ 10.6% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 6.22% ( 0.22) 2-2 @ 4.52% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.95% Total : 22.3%	0-1 @ 11.58% ( 0.23) 0-2 @ 10.77% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 9.87% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 6.69% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 6.12% ( -0.11) 0-4 @ 3.11% ( -0.09) 1-4 @ 2.85% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 2.8% ( -0.07) 2-4 @ 1.3% ( -0.05) 0-5 @ 1.16% ( -0.05) 1-5 @ 1.06% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.27% Total : 59.59%