Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portugal win with a probability of 73.81%. A draw had a probability of 15.4% and a win for Republic of Ireland had a probability of 10.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portugal win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.18%) and 3-0 (8.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.04%), while for a Republic of Ireland win it was 1-2 (3.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Portugal would win this match.

Result
Portugal	Draw	Republic of Ireland
73.81% ( -0.56)	15.44% ( 0.31)	10.75% ( 0.25)

Both teams to score 55.22% (

-0.29)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

68.19% (

-0.8)

31.81% (

0.8)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

46.66% (

-0.94)

53.34% (

0.95)

Portugal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.64% (

-0.29)

7.37% (

0.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

73.42% (

-0.78)

26.58% (

0.78)

Republic of Ireland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.61% (

-0.13)

40.39% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.99% (

-0.11)

77.01% (

0.12)

Score Analysis

Portugal 73.8%

Republic of Ireland 10.75%

Draw 15.44%

Portugal	Draw	Republic of Ireland
2-0 @ 10.11% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 9.18% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 8.8% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 7.98% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 7.76% ( 0.22) 4-0 @ 5.74% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 5.2% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 3.62% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 2.99% ( -0.1) 5-1 @ 2.71% ( -0.1) 4-2 @ 2.36% ( -0.06) 6-0 @ 1.3% ( -0.07) 5-2 @ 1.23% ( -0.05) 6-1 @ 1.18% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.65% Total : 73.8%	1-1 @ 7.04% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 4.16% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 2.98% ( 0.13) 3-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.18% Total : 15.44%	1-2 @ 3.19% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 2.7% ( 0.11) 2-3 @ 1.26% ( 0) 0-2 @ 1.22% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.42% Total : 10.75%