International Friendlies
Portugal
Jun 11, 2024 7.45pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Municipal de Aveiro
Rep. Ireland
  • Joao Felix 18' goal
  • Cristiano Ronaldo 50' goal
  • Cristiano Ronaldo 60' goal

Portugal vs Republic of Ireland - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Portugal

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Jun 8, 2024 5.45pm
Portugal 1 - 2 Croatia

Republic of Ireland

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Jun 4, 2024 7.45pm
Rep. Ireland 2 - 1 Hungary

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portugal win with a probability of 73.81%. A draw had a probability of 15.4% and a win for Republic of Ireland had a probability of 10.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portugal win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.18%) and 3-0 (8.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.04%), while for a Republic of Ireland win it was 1-2 (3.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Portugal would win this match.

Result

Portugal 73.81% ▼ (-0.56)
Draw 15.44% ▲ (+0.31)
Republic of Ireland 10.75% ▲ (+0.26)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.22% ▼ (-0.30)

Goals

Over 2.5 68.19% ▼ (-0.80)
Under 2.5 31.81% ▲ (+0.81)
Over 3.5 46.66% ▼ (-0.95)
Under 3.5 53.34% ▲ (+0.95)
Over 4.5 27.74% ▼ (-0.84)
Under 4.5 72.26% ▲ (+0.84)

Portugal Goals

Over 0.5 92.64% ▼ (-0.30)
Under 0.5 7.37% ▲ (+0.30)
Over 1.5 73.42% ▼ (-0.78)
Under 1.5 26.58% ▲ (+0.78)

Republic of Ireland Goals

Over 0.5 59.61% ▼ (-0.13)
Under 0.5 40.39% ▲ (+0.14)
Over 1.5 22.99% ▼ (-0.12)
Under 1.5 77.01% ▲ (+0.12)

Score analysis

Portugal 73.8%
Draw 15.44%
Republic of Ireland 10.75%
Portugal
2-0 @ 10.11% ▲ (+0.13)
2-1 @ 9.18% ▲ (+0.09)
3-0 @ 8.8% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 7.98% ▼ (-0.05)
1-0 @ 7.76% ▲ (+0.22)
4-0 @ 5.74% ▼ (-0.11)
4-1 @ 5.2% ▼ (-0.12)
3-2 @ 3.62% ▼ (-0.04)
5-0 @ 2.99% ▼ (-0.11)
5-1 @ 2.71% ▼ (-0.11)
4-2 @ 2.36% ▼ (-0.07)
6-0 @ 1.3% ▼ (-0.07)
5-2 @ 1.23% ▼ (-0.06)
6-1 @ 1.18% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 3.65%
Total : 73.8%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.04% ▲ (+0.18)
2-2 @ 4.16% ▲ (+0.03)
0-0 @ 2.98% ▲ (+0.13)
3-3 @ 1.09% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 15.44%
Republic of Ireland
1-2 @ 3.19% ▲ (+0.07)
0-1 @ 2.7% ▲ (+0.11)
2-3 @ 1.26% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 1.22% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 10.75%

Head to Head

World Cup Qualifying - Europe
Rep. Ireland
Nov 11, 2021 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Portugal
  • Chiedozie Ogbene 29' yellowcard
  • Seamus Coleman 54' yellowcard
  • Matt Doherty 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Danilo Pereira 71'
  • yellowcard Pepe 72'
  • redcard Pepe 82'
World Cup Qualifying - Europe
Portugal
Sep 1, 2021 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT
Rep. Ireland
  • Cristiano Ronaldo 89' goal
  • Cristiano Ronaldo 90'+6' goal
  • Cristiano Ronaldo 90'+7' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jeff Hendrick 10'
  • yellowcard Dara O'Shea 33'
  • goal John Egan 45'
  • yellowcard Aaron Connolly 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Matt Doherty 56'
International Friendlies
Rep. Ireland
Jun 11, 2014 12.45am
1
5
HT : 0 3
FT
Portugal
  • James McClean 52' goal
  • James McClean 56' yellowcard
  • Alex Pearce 80' yellowcard
  • goal Hugo Almeida 2'
  • goal Richard Keogh 20' (OG)
  • goal Hugo Almeida 39'
  • goal Vieirinha 77'
  • goal Fabio Coentrao 83'

Form Data

Portugal 1 - 2 Croatia
Portugal 4 - 2 Finland
Slovenia 2 - 0 Portugal
Portugal 5 - 2 Sweden
Portugal 2 - 0 Iceland
Liechtenstein 0 - 2 Portugal
Rep. Ireland 2 - 1 Hungary
Rep. Ireland 0 - 1 Switzerland
Rep. Ireland 0 - 0 Belgium
Rep. Ireland 1 - 1 New Zealand
Netherlands 1 - 0 Rep. Ireland
Gibraltar 0 - 4 Rep. Ireland