Portugal national football team
Friendlies 1
Jun 11, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Aveiro
Republic of Ireland national football team

Portugal
3 - 0
Rep. Ireland

Felix (18'), Ronaldo (50', 60')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's friendly clash between Portugal and Republic of Ireland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Portugal could line up in their friendly encounter with Republic of Ireland.

Form, Standings, Stats

Portugal

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Portugal 1-2 Croatia
Saturday, June 8 at 5.45pm in International Friendlies

Republic of Ireland

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Rep. Ireland 2-1 Hungary
Tuesday, June 4 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portugal win with a probability of 73.81%. A draw had a probability of 15.4% and a win for Republic of Ireland had a probability of 10.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portugal win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.18%) and 3-0 (8.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.04%), while for a Republic of Ireland win it was 1-2 (3.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Portugal would win this match.

Result
PortugalDrawRepublic of Ireland
73.81% (-0.556 -0.56)15.44% (0.307 0.31)10.75% (0.254 0.25)
Both teams to score 55.22% (-0.293 -0.29)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.19% (-0.798 -0.8)31.81% (0.803 0.8)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.66% (-0.943 -0.94)53.34% (0.948 0.95)
Portugal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.64% (-0.292 -0.29)7.37% (0.297 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
73.42% (-0.77500000000001 -0.78)26.58% (0.778 0.78)
Republic of Ireland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.61% (-0.125 -0.13)40.39% (0.13 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.99% (-0.114 -0.11)77.01% (0.119 0.12)
Score Analysis
    Portugal 73.8%
    Republic of Ireland 10.75%
    Draw 15.44%
PortugalDrawRepublic of Ireland
2-0 @ 10.11% (0.121 0.12)
2-1 @ 9.18% (0.087000000000002 0.09)
3-0 @ 8.8% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-1 @ 7.98% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
1-0 @ 7.76% (0.218 0.22)
4-0 @ 5.74% (-0.105 -0.11)
4-1 @ 5.2% (-0.114 -0.11)
3-2 @ 3.62% (-0.035 -0.03)
5-0 @ 2.99% (-0.103 -0.1)
5-1 @ 2.71% (-0.103 -0.1)
4-2 @ 2.36% (-0.06 -0.06)
6-0 @ 1.3% (-0.066 -0.07)
5-2 @ 1.23% (-0.051 -0.05)
6-1 @ 1.18% (-0.064 -0.06)
Other @ 3.65%
Total : 73.8%
1-1 @ 7.04% (0.174 0.17)
2-2 @ 4.16% (0.024 0.02)
0-0 @ 2.98% (0.129 0.13)
3-3 @ 1.09% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 15.44%
1-2 @ 3.19% (0.068 0.07)
0-1 @ 2.7% (0.107 0.11)
2-3 @ 1.26% (0.0029999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 1.22% (0.045 0.05)
1-3 @ 0.96% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 1.42%
Total : 10.75%

How you voted: Portugal vs Rep. Ireland

Portugal
83.1%
Draw
5.4%
Republic of Ireland
11.4%
166
Head to Head
Nov 11, 2021 7.45pm
Group Stage
Rep. Ireland
0-0
Portugal
Ogbene (29'), Coleman (54'), Doherty (90+3')
Pereira (71'), Pepe (72')
Pepe (82')
> Preview
Sep 1, 2021 7.45pm
Group Stage
Portugal
2-1
Rep. Ireland
Ronaldo (89', 90+6')
Ronaldo (90+7')
Egan (45')
Hendrick (10'), O'Shea (33'), Connolly (45+2'), Doherty (56')
> Match Report
Jun 11, 2014 12.45am
International Friendlies
Rep. Ireland
1-5
Portugal
McClean (52')
McClean (56'), Pearce (80')
Almeida (2', 39'), Keogh (20' og.), Vieirinha (77'), Coentrao (83')
> Match Report