/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fitalog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fturlog.png)
-
Riccardo Orsolini
30'
-
Gianluca Mancini
90'+1'
Italy vs Turkey - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F46%2Fitaly.jpg)
Predicted Lineups
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F46%2Fluciano-spalletti.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Italy win with a probability of 69.83%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for Turkey had a probability of 12.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Italy win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.6%) and 1-0 (8.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.04%), while for a Turkey win it was 1-2 (3.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result
Italy
69.83%
▲
(+0.21)
Draw
17.37%
▼
(-0.16)
Turkey
12.8%
▼
(-0.06)
Both Teams to Score:
54.78%
▲
(+0.43)
Goals
Over 2.5
64.32%
▲
(+0.63)
Under 2.5
35.68%
▼
(-0.63)
Over 3.5
42.25%
▲
(+0.69)
Under 3.5
57.75%
▼
(-0.70)
Over 4.5
23.98%
▲
(+0.57)
Under 4.5
76.02%
▼
(-0.58)
Italy Goals
Over 0.5
90.82%
▲
(+0.21)
Under 0.5
9.17%
▼
(-0.22)
Over 1.5
68.91%
▲
(+0.51)
Under 1.5
31.09%
▼
(-0.51)
Turkey Goals
Over 0.5
60.31%
▲
(+0.34)
Under 0.5
39.68%
▼
(-0.34)
Over 1.5
23.64%
▲
(+0.31)
Under 1.5
76.36%
▼
(-0.32)
Score analysis
Italy
69.82%
Draw
17.37%
Turkey
12.8%
Italy
2-0
@
10.38%
▼
(-0.13)
2-1 @ 9.6% ▼ (-0.03)
1-0 @ 8.7% ▼ (-0.20)
3-0 @ 8.27% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 7.64% ▲ (+0.06)
4-0 @ 4.94% ▲ (+0.04)
4-1 @ 4.57% ▲ (+0.08)
3-2 @ 3.53% ▲ (+0.06)
5-0 @ 2.36% ▲ (+0.04)
5-1 @ 2.18% ▲ (+0.06)
4-2 @ 2.11% ▲ (+0.06)
5-2 @ 1.01% ▼ (-96.30)
Other @ 4.53%
Total : 69.82%
2-1 @ 9.6% ▼ (-0.03)
1-0 @ 8.7% ▼ (-0.20)
3-0 @ 8.27% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 7.64% ▲ (+0.06)
4-0 @ 4.94% ▲ (+0.04)
4-1 @ 4.57% ▲ (+0.08)
3-2 @ 3.53% ▲ (+0.06)
5-0 @ 2.36% ▲ (+0.04)
5-1 @ 2.18% ▲ (+0.06)
4-2 @ 2.11% ▲ (+0.06)
5-2 @ 1.01% ▼ (-96.30)
Other @ 4.53%
Total : 69.82%
Draw
1-1
@
8.04%
▼
(-0.11)
2-2 @ 4.44% ▲ (+0.03)
0-0 @ 3.64% ▼ (-0.12)
3-3 @ 1.09% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 17.37%
2-2 @ 4.44% ▲ (+0.03)
0-0 @ 3.64% ▼ (-0.12)
3-3 @ 1.09% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 17.37%
Turkey
1-2
@
3.71%
▼
(-0.02)
0-1 @ 3.37% ▼ (-0.08)
0-2 @ 1.56% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.37% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 1.14% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 1.66%
Total : 12.8%
0-1 @ 3.37% ▼ (-0.08)
0-2 @ 1.56% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.37% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 1.14% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 1.66%
Total : 12.8%
