Friendlies 1

Jun 4, 2024 at 8pm UK

Stadio Renato Dall'Ara

Italy
0 - 0
Turkey

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's friendly fixture between Italy and Turkey, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Italy could line up for Tuesday's friendly fixture against Turkey.

Form, Standings, Stats

Italy

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Ecuador 0-2 Italy
Sunday, March 24 at 8pm in International Friendlies

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Italy	0	0	0
2	Spain	0	0	0
3	Croatia	0	0	0
4	Albania	0	0	0

Turkey

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Austria 6-1 Turkey
Tuesday, March 26 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies

Current Group F Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Czech Republic	0	0	0
2	Portugal	0	0	0
3	Turkey	0	0	0
4	Georgia	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Italy win with a probability of 69.83%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for Turkey had a probability of 12.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Italy win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.6%) and 1-0 (8.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.04%), while for a Turkey win it was 1-2 (3.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Italy	Draw	Turkey
69.83% ( 0.21)	17.37% ( -0.16)	12.8% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 54.78% (

0.43)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.32% (

0.63)

35.68% (

-0.63)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.25% (

0.69)

57.75% (

-0.69)

Italy Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.82% (

0.21)

9.17% (

-0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

68.91% (

0.5)

31.09% (

-0.5)

Turkey Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.31% (

0.33)

39.68% (

-0.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.64% (

0.31)

76.36% (

-0.31)

Score Analysis

Italy 69.82%

Turkey 12.8%

Draw 17.37%

Italy	Draw	Turkey
2-0 @ 10.38% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 9.6% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 8.7% ( -0.19) 3-0 @ 8.27% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 7.64% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 4.94% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 4.57% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 3.53% ( 0.06) 5-0 @ 2.36% ( 0.04) 5-1 @ 2.18% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 2.11% ( 0.05) 5-2 @ 1.01% ( 0.04) 6-0 @ 0.94% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.59% Total : 69.82%	1-1 @ 8.04% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 4.44% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 3.64% ( -0.12) 3-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.16% Total : 17.37%	1-2 @ 3.71% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 3.37% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 1.56% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.37% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.14% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.66% Total : 12.8%