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Mateo Retegui
40'
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Mateo Retegui
80'
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Darwin Machis
43'
Italy vs Venezuela - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Italy win with a probability of 76.35%. A draw had a probability of 15.7% and a win for Venezuela had a probability of 7.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Italy win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.96%) and 3-0 (11.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.42%), while for a Venezuela win it was 0-1 (3.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Italy in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Italy.
Result
Both Teams to Score:
Goals
Italy Goals
Venezuela Goals
Score analysis
1-0 @ 11.96%
3-0 @ 11.13% ▲ (+0.02)
2-1 @ 8.77% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 6.91% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 6.58% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 4.08% ▼ (-0.01)
5-0 @ 3.11% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.14% ▼ (-0.01)
5-1 @ 1.93%
4-2 @ 1.27% ▼ (-0.01)
6-0 @ 1.22% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 76.34%
0-0 @ 5.06% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 2.72% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.49%
Total : 15.69%
1-2 @ 2.3% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 7.96%
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