Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colombia win with a probability of 63.81%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Venezuela had a probability of 13.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colombia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.34%) and 2-1 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.33%), while for a Venezuela win it was 0-1 (5.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Colombia in this match.