World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage

Nov 22, 2023 at 2am UK

Estadio Nacional de Lima

Peru
1 - 1
Venezuela

Yotun (17', 17')
Lopez (27'), Lopez (27'), Yotun (53'), Yotun (53')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Savarino (54', 54')
Machis (24'), Machis (24'), Osorio (44'), Osorio (44'), Castillo (85'), Castillo (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's World Cup Qualifying - South America clash between Peru and Venezuela, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Peru

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Bolivia 2-0 Peru
Thursday, November 16 at 8pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America

Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Argentina	5	5	12
2	Uruguay	5	5	10
3	Colombia	5	2	9
4	Venezuela	5	3	8
5	Ecuador	5	1	8
6	Brazil	5	2	7
7	Paraguay	5	-1	5
8	Chile	5	-3	5
9	Bolivia	5	-7	3
10	Peru	5	-7	1

Venezuela

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Venezuela 0-0 Ecuador
Thursday, November 16 at 10pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America

Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Argentina	5	5	12
2	Uruguay	5	5	10
3	Colombia	5	2	9
4	Venezuela	5	3	8
5	Ecuador	5	1	8
6	Brazil	5	2	7
7	Paraguay	5	-1	5
8	Chile	5	-3	5
9	Bolivia	5	-7	3
10	Peru	5	-7	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peru win with a probability of 37.34%. A win for Venezuela had a probability of 32.73% and a draw had a probability of 29.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peru win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.37%) and 2-0 (7.34%). The likeliest Venezuela win was 0-1 (12.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Peru	Draw	Venezuela
37.34% ( 0.01)	29.93% ( -0)	32.73% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 42.14% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

34.98% (

-0)

65.01% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.1%

83.9% (

-0)

Peru Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.51% (

0.01)

33.49% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.87% (

0.01)

70.13% (

-0.01)

Venezuela Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.36% (

-0.01)

36.64% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.58% (

-0.01)

73.42% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Peru 37.34%

Venezuela 32.73%

Draw 29.92%

Peru	Draw	Venezuela
1-0 @ 13.42% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.37% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.34% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.69% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.68% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.35% ( 0) Other @ 2.49% Total : 37.34%	1-1 @ 13.47% 0-0 @ 12.26% 2-2 @ 3.7% Other @ 0.48% Total : 29.92%	0-1 @ 12.32% 1-2 @ 6.77% ( -0) 0-2 @ 6.19% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.27% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.07% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.24% Other @ 1.88% Total : 32.73%