World Cup Qualifying - South America
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Yoshimar Yotun
17'
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Yoshimar Yotun
17'
-
Marcos Lopez
27'
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Marcos Lopez
27'
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Yoshimar Yotun
53'
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Yoshimar Yotun
53'
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Darwin Machis
24'
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Darwin Machis
24'
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Yordan Osorio
44'
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Yordan Osorio
44'
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Jefferson Savarino
54'
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Jefferson Savarino
54'
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Edson Castillo
85'
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Edson Castillo
85'
Peru vs Venezuela - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peru win with a probability of 37.34%. A win for Venezuela had a probability of 32.73% and a draw had a probability of 29.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peru win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.37%) and 2-0 (7.34%). The likeliest Venezuela win was 0-1 (12.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result
Peru
37.34%
▲
(+0.02)
Draw
29.93%
▼
(-0.01)
Venezuela
32.73%
▼
(-0.02)
Both Teams to Score:
42.14%
▼
(-0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5
34.98%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 2.5
65.01%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 3.5
16.1%
Under 3.5
83.9%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 4.5
6.19%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 4.5
93.81%
Peru Goals
Over 0.5
66.51%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 0.5
33.49%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 1.5
29.87%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 1.5
70.13%
▼
(-0.02)
Venezuela Goals
Over 0.5
63.36%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 0.5
36.64%
▲
(+0.02)
Over 1.5
26.58%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 1.5
73.42%
▲
(+0.01)
Score analysis
Peru
37.34%
Draw
29.92%
Venezuela
32.73%
Peru
1-0
@
13.42%
▲
(+0.01)
2-1 @ 7.37% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 7.34% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 2.69% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 2.68% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.35% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 37.34%
2-1 @ 7.37% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 7.34% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 2.69% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 2.68% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.35% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 37.34%
Draw
1-1
@
13.47%
0-0 @ 12.26%
2-2 @ 3.7%
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 29.92%
0-0 @ 12.26%
2-2 @ 3.7%
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 29.92%
Venezuela
0-1
@
12.32%
1-2 @ 6.77% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 6.19% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.27% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.07% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.24%
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 32.73%
1-2 @ 6.77% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 6.19% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.27% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.07% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.24%
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 32.73%
Tomas Rincon
38'