World Cup Qualifying - South America
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-
Henry Vaca
20'
-
Leonel Justiniano
30'
-
Henry Vaca
45'+1'
-
Ramiro Vaca
87'
-
Alexander Callens
34'
-
Luis Advincula
87'
-
Pedro Gallese
87'
-
Brayan Reyna
90'+2'
Bolivia vs Peru - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peru win with a probability of 38.94%. A win for Bolivia had a probability of 33.38% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peru win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.17%) and 0-2 (7.19%). The likeliest Bolivia win was 1-0 (10.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
Result
Bolivia
33.38%
▼
(-0.69)
Draw
27.68%
▼
(-0.05)
Peru
38.94%
▲
(+0.74)
Both Teams to Score:
48.5%
▲
(+0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5
42.74%
▲
(+0.08)
Under 2.5
57.26%
▼
(-0.08)
Over 3.5
21.9%
▲
(+0.07)
Under 3.5
78.1%
▼
(-0.07)
Over 4.5
9.45%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 4.5
90.55%
▼
(-0.04)
Bolivia Goals
Over 0.5
67.93%
▼
(-0.42)
Under 0.5
32.07%
▲
(+0.42)
Over 1.5
31.46%
▼
(-0.48)
Under 1.5
68.54%
▲
(+0.48)
Peru Goals
Over 0.5
71.4%
▲
(+0.47)
Under 0.5
28.6%
▼
(-0.47)
Over 1.5
35.6%
▲
(+0.58)
Under 1.5
64.4%
▼
(-0.58)
Score analysis
Bolivia
33.38%
Draw
27.67%
Peru
38.94%
Bolivia
1-0
@
10.43%
▼
(-0.16)
2-1 @ 7.43% ▼ (-0.10)
2-0 @ 5.93% ▼ (-0.16)
3-1 @ 2.82% ▼ (-0.07)
3-0 @ 2.25% ▼ (-0.09)
3-2 @ 1.76% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 33.38%
2-1 @ 7.43% ▼ (-0.10)
2-0 @ 5.93% ▼ (-0.16)
3-1 @ 2.82% ▼ (-0.07)
3-0 @ 2.25% ▼ (-0.09)
3-2 @ 1.76% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 33.38%
Draw
1-1
@
13.05%
▼
(-0.02)
0-0 @ 9.17% ▼ (-0.03)
2-2 @ 4.65%
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 27.67%
0-0 @ 9.17% ▼ (-0.03)
2-2 @ 4.65%
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 27.67%
Peru
0-1
@
11.48%
▲
(+0.13)
1-2 @ 8.17% ▲ (+0.10)
0-2 @ 7.19% ▲ (+0.17)
1-3 @ 3.41% ▲ (+0.09)
0-3 @ 3% ▲ (+0.11)
2-3 @ 1.94% ▲ (+0.03)
1-4 @ 1.07% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 38.94%
1-2 @ 8.17% ▲ (+0.10)
0-2 @ 7.19% ▲ (+0.17)
1-3 @ 3.41% ▲ (+0.09)
0-3 @ 3% ▲ (+0.11)
2-3 @ 1.94% ▲ (+0.03)
1-4 @ 1.07% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 38.94%
