Friendlies 1

Mar 22, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Puskas Arena (Budapest)

Hungary
1 - 0
Turkey

Szoboszlai (48' pen.)
Nagy (86'), Kleinheisler (90+6')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Akaydin (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's friendly clash between Hungary and Turkey, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hungary

All competitions

Last Game: Hungary 3-1 Montenegro
Sunday, November 19 at 2pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group G Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Hungary	8	9	18
2	Serbia	8	6	14
3	Montenegro	8	-2	11
4	Lithuania	8	-6	6
5	Bulgaria	8	-7	4

Turkey

All competitions

Last Game: Wales 1-1 Turkey
Tuesday, November 21 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Turkey	8	7	17
2	Croatia	8	9	16
3	Wales	8	0	12
4	Armenia	8	-2	8
5	Latvia	8	-14	3

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hungary win with a probability of 45.57%. A win for Turkey had a probability of 28.48% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hungary win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.11%) and 2-0 (8.21%). The likeliest Turkey win was 0-1 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Hungary in this match.

Result
Hungary	Draw	Turkey
45.57% ( -0.14)	25.96% ( 0.07)	28.48% ( 0.07)

Both teams to score 51.7% (

-0.18)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.77% (

-0.25)

52.23% (

0.25)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.07% (

-0.22)

73.93% (

0.22)

Hungary Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.13% (

-0.17)

22.87% (

0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.39% (

-0.26)

56.61% (

0.26)

Turkey Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.03% (

-0.08)

32.97% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.44% (

-0.08)

69.56% (

0.09)

Score Analysis

Hungary 45.56%

Turkey 28.48%

Draw 25.95%

Hungary	Draw	Turkey
1-0 @ 11.12% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.11% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 8.21% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.48% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 4.04% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.48% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.65% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.49% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.07% Total : 45.56%	1-1 @ 12.34% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.54% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 5.05% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.95%	0-1 @ 8.37% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 6.85% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.64% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.53% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.87% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.72% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.51% Total : 28.48%