Euro 2020 header take 8

Euro 2024

Turkey national football team
European Championship | Group Stage
Jun 18, 2024 at 5pm UK
Signal-Iduna-Park
Georgia national football team

Turkey
3 - 1
Georgia

Muldur (25'), Guler (65'), Akturkoglu (90+7')
Bardakci (35'), Calhanoglu (89')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Mikautadze (32')
Kverkvelia (55')

The Match

Match Report

Goals from Mert Muldur, Arda Guler and Kerem Akturkoglu fire Turkey to a 3-1 victory over tournament newcomers Georgia in the opening match of Euro 2024 Group F.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's European Championship clash between Turkey and Georgia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Turkey could line up in their Euro 2024 opener against Georgia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Turkey

All competitions
Last Game: Poland 2-1 Turkey
Monday, June 10 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies

Georgia

All competitions
Last Game: Montenegro 1-3 Georgia
Sunday, June 9 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Turkey win with a probability of 52.82%. A win for Georgia had a probability of 24.56% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Turkey win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.66%) and 2-0 (8.08%). The likeliest Georgia win was 1-2 (6.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.43%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Turkey would win this match.

Result
TurkeyDrawGeorgia
52.82% (2.122 2.12)22.63% (-0.216 -0.22)24.56% (-1.907 -1.91)
Both teams to score 59.16% (-1.243 -1.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.21% (-0.755 -0.76)40.79% (0.754 0.75)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.82% (-0.778 -0.78)63.18% (0.775 0.77)
Turkey Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.5% (0.464 0.46)15.5% (-0.465 -0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.61% (0.86 0.86)44.39% (-0.86 -0.86)
Georgia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.01% (-1.866 -1.87)29.98% (1.864 1.86)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.9% (-2.308 -2.31)66.1% (2.307 2.31)
Score Analysis
    Turkey 52.82%
    Georgia 24.56%
    Draw 22.62%
TurkeyDrawGeorgia
2-1 @ 9.73% (0.142 0.14)
1-0 @ 8.66% (0.428 0.43)
2-0 @ 8.08% (0.52 0.52)
3-1 @ 6.05% (0.183 0.18)
3-0 @ 5.02% (0.398 0.4)
3-2 @ 3.64% (-0.078 -0.08)
4-1 @ 2.82% (0.129 0.13)
4-0 @ 2.34% (0.22 0.22)
4-2 @ 1.7% (-0.01 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.05% (0.064 0.06)
Other @ 3.73%
Total : 52.82%
1-1 @ 10.43% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.86% (-0.222 -0.22)
0-0 @ 4.65% (0.158 0.16)
3-3 @ 1.46% (-0.111 -0.11)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 22.62%
1-2 @ 6.29% (-0.343 -0.34)
0-1 @ 5.6% (-0.097 -0.1)
0-2 @ 3.37% (-0.241 -0.24)
1-3 @ 2.52% (-0.28 -0.28)
2-3 @ 2.35% (-0.22 -0.22)
0-3 @ 1.35% (-0.175 -0.18)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 24.56%

How you voted: Turkey vs Georgia

Turkey
63.4%
Draw
16.1%
Georgia
20.5%
1043
rhs 2.0
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