European Championship
Jun 18, 2024 5.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT Signal-Iduna-Park
  • Mert Muldur 25' goal
  • Abdulkerim Bardakci 35' yellowcard
  • Arda Guler 65' goal
  • Hakan Calhanoglu 89' yellowcard
  • Kerem Akturkoglu 90'+7' goal
  • goal Georges Mikautadze 32'
  • yellowcard Saba Kverkvelia 55'

Turkey vs Georgia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Result
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Turkey

All competitions

Georgia

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Turkey win with a probability of 52.82%. A win for Georgia had a probability of 24.56% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Turkey win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.66%) and 2-0 (8.08%). The likeliest Georgia win was 1-2 (6.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.43%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Turkey would win this match.

Result

Turkey 52.82% (+2.13)
Draw 22.63% (-0.22)
Georgia 24.56% (-1.91)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.16% (-1.25)

Goals

Over 2.5 59.21% (-0.76)
Under 2.5 40.79% (+0.76)
Over 3.5 36.82% (-0.78)
Under 3.5 63.18% (+0.78)
Over 4.5 19.65% (-0.61)
Under 4.5 80.35% (+0.60)

Turkey Goals

Over 0.5 84.5% (+0.47)
Under 0.5 15.5% (-0.47)
Over 1.5 55.61% (+0.86)
Under 1.5 44.39% (-0.86)

Georgia Goals

Over 0.5 70.01% (-1.87)
Under 0.5 29.98% (+1.87)
Over 1.5 33.9% (-2.31)
Under 1.5 66.1% (+2.31)

Score analysis

Turkey 52.82%
Draw 22.62%
Georgia 24.56%
Turkey
2-1 @ 9.73% (+0.15)
1-0 @ 8.66% (+0.43)
2-0 @ 8.08% (+0.52)
3-1 @ 6.05% (+0.19)
3-0 @ 5.02% (+0.40)
3-2 @ 3.64% (-0.08)
4-1 @ 2.82% (+0.13)
4-0 @ 2.34% (+0.22)
4-2 @ 1.7% (-0.02)
5-1 @ 1.05% (-97.65)
Other @ 3.73%
Total : 52.82%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.43% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.86% (-0.23)
0-0 @ 4.65% (+0.16)
3-3 @ 1.46% (-0.12)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 22.62%
Georgia
1-2 @ 6.29% (-0.35)
0-1 @ 5.6% (-0.10)
0-2 @ 3.37% (-0.25)
1-3 @ 2.52% (-0.28)
2-3 @ 2.35% (-0.23)
0-3 @ 1.35% (-0.18)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 24.56%

Build-up

Predicted Lineups