Montenegro national football team
Friendlies 2
Jun 9, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadion Pod Goricom
Georgia national football team

Montenegro
1 - 3
Georgia

Jovetic (66')
Vukcevic (28')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Kiteishvili (10'), Mikautadze (33'), Zivzivadze (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's friendly clash between Montenegro and Georgia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Montenegro

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Belgium 2-0 Montenegro
Wednesday, June 5 at 7.30pm in International Friendlies

Georgia

All competitions
Last Game: Georgia 0-0 Greece (4-3 pen.)
Tuesday, March 26 at 5pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montenegro win with a probability of 64.1%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Georgia had a probability of 14.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Montenegro win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.16%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.04%), while for a Georgia win it was 0-1 (5.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Georgia would win this match.

Result
MontenegroDrawGeorgia
64.1% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)21.16% (0.027999999999999 0.03)14.73% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
Both teams to score 47.07% (-0.143 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.45% (-0.16 -0.16)48.55% (0.15499999999999 0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.32% (-0.145 -0.15)70.67% (0.14 0.14)
Montenegro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.54% (-0.054999999999993 -0.05)14.45% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.59% (-0.101 -0.1)42.4% (0.094999999999999 0.09)
Georgia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.01% (-0.137 -0.14)44.98% (0.131 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.08% (-0.108 -0.11)80.91% (0.101 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Montenegro 64.1%
    Georgia 14.73%
    Draw 21.16%
MontenegroDrawGeorgia
1-0 @ 12.57% (0.06 0.06)
2-0 @ 12.16% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.72% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-0 @ 7.84% (0.008 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.27% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-0 @ 3.79% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 3.03% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.5% (-0.016 -0.02)
5-0 @ 1.47% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 1.21% (-0.01 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.17% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 64.1%
1-1 @ 10.04% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.5% (0.042 0.04)
2-2 @ 3.88% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 21.16%
0-1 @ 5.19% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
1-2 @ 4.01% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.07% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-3 @ 1.07% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.03% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 1.35%
Total : 14.73%

How you voted: Montenegro vs Georgia

Montenegro
36.3%
Draw
19.9%
Georgia
43.8%
146