Euro 2024

Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage

Nov 19, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Estadio Olimpico de Sevilla

Spain
3 - 1
Georgia

Le Normand (4'), Torres (55'), Lochoshvili (72' og.)
Rodri (56'), Martinez (90+4')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Kvaratskhelia (10')
Kvaratskhelia (75'), Sagnol (75'), Kashia (83')

Reaction

Napoli and Georgia attacker Khvicha Kvaratskhelia pictured in June 2023

Manchester United, Manchester City 'among teams to scout Khvicha Kvaratskhelia'

Manchester United and Manchester City had scouts at Georgia's Euro 2024 qualification clash with Spain to watch Napoli's Khvicha Kvaratskhelia, according to a report.

Nov 22, 17:49

Spain's Gavi reacts after sustaining an injury on November 19, 2023

Barcelona's Gavi suffers serious knee injury on Spain duty

Spain confirm that Gavi sustained a serious knee injury during La Roja's 3-1 win over Georgia in European Championship qualifying on Sunday evening.

Nov 19, 23:25

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Spain and Georgia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Spain could line up for Sunday's Euro 2024 qualifying Group A clash with Cyprus.

Form, Standings, Stats

Spain

All competitions

Euro Champ Qualifying

Last Game: Cyprus 1-3 Spain
Thursday, November 16 at 5pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Spain	7	18	18
2	Scotland	7	9	16
3	Norway	7	2	10
4	Georgia	7	-4	8
5	Cyprus	8	-25	0

Georgia

All competitions

Euro Champ Qualifying

Last Game: Georgia 2-2 Scotland
Thursday, November 16 at 5pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Spain	7	18	18
2	Scotland	7	9	16
3	Norway	7	2	10
4	Georgia	7	-4	8
5	Cyprus	8	-25	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain win with a probability of 75.6%. A draw had a probability of 15% and a win for Georgia had a probability of 9.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spain win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.62%) and 2-1 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.98%), while for a Georgia win it was 1-2 (2.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Spain in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Spain.

Result
Spain	Draw	Georgia
75.6% ( -0.26)	14.96% ( 0.12)	9.44% ( 0.14)

Both teams to score 51.59% (

0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.26% (

-0.13)

33.74% (

0.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.43% (

-0.15)

55.57% (

0.15)

Spain Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.55% (

-0.08)

7.45% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

73.21% (

-0.22)

26.79% (

0.22)

Georgia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.74% (

0.19)

44.25% (

-0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.67% (

0.16)

80.33% (

-0.16)

Score Analysis

Spain 75.59%

Georgia 9.44%

Draw 14.96%

Spain	Draw	Georgia
2-0 @ 11.11% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 9.62% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 9.06% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 8.56% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 7.85% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 6.25% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 5.09% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 3.25% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 3.2% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 2.65% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 2.08% 6-0 @ 1.41% ( -0.03) 6-1 @ 1.15% ( -0.02) 5-2 @ 1.08% ( -0) Other @ 3.25% Total : 75.59%	1-1 @ 6.98% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 3.69% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 3.3% ( 0.02) Other @ 1% Total : 14.96%	1-2 @ 2.85% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 2.69% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 1.1% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.81% Total : 9.44%