Friendlies 1

Jun 5, 2024 at 7.30pm UK

Stade Roi Baudouin

Belgium
2 - 0
Montenegro

De Bruyne (44'), Trossard (90+3' pen.)

FT(HT: 1-0)

Brnovic (63'), Mugosa (90+2')
Brnovic (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's friendly clash between Belgium and Montenegro, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Belgium

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: England 2-2 Belgium
Tuesday, March 26 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Ukraine	0	0	0
2	Belgium	0	0	0
3	Romania	0	0	0
4	Slovakia	0	0	0

Montenegro

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Montenegro 1-0 N. Macedonia
Monday, March 25 at 5pm in International Friendlies

Current Group G Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Hungary	8	9	18
2	Serbia	8	6	14
3	Montenegro	8	-2	11
4	Lithuania	8	-6	6
5	Bulgaria	8	-7	4

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgium win with a probability of 76.89%. A draw had a probability of 15.3% and a win for Montenegro had a probability of 7.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Belgium win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.5%) and 3-0 (11.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.25%), while for a Montenegro win it was 0-1 (3.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Belgium in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Belgium.

Result
Belgium	Draw	Montenegro
76.89% ( -0.03)	15.29% ( 0.02)	7.82% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 42.58% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.64% (

-0.02)

41.36% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.25% (

-0.01)

63.76% (

0.01)

Belgium Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.04% (

-0.01)

8.96% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

69.43% (

-0.03)

30.57% (

0.03)

Montenegro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

46.77% (

0.03)

53.23% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

13.21% (

0.02)

86.79% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Belgium 76.88%

Montenegro 7.82%

Draw 15.29%

Belgium	Draw	Montenegro
2-0 @ 13.87% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 11.5% 3-0 @ 11.16% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.75% ( 0) 3-1 @ 7.04% 4-0 @ 6.73% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 4.25% ( -0) 5-0 @ 3.25% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.22% ( 0) 5-1 @ 2.05% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.34% 6-0 @ 1.31% ( -0) Other @ 3.42% Total : 76.88%	1-1 @ 7.25% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.77% ( 0) 2-2 @ 2.76% ( 0) Other @ 0.51% Total : 15.29%	0-1 @ 3.01% ( 0) 1-2 @ 2.29% ( 0) 0-2 @ 0.95% ( 0) Other @ 1.58% Total : 7.82%