Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgium win with a probability of 76.89%. A draw had a probability of 15.3% and a win for Montenegro had a probability of 7.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Belgium win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.5%) and 3-0 (11.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.25%), while for a Montenegro win it was 0-1 (3.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Belgium in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Belgium.