Friendlies 1

Nov 15, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Stade Roi Baudouin

Belgium
1 - 0
Serbia

Carrasco (2')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Veljkovic (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's friendly clash between Belgium and Serbia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Belgium

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Belgium 1-1 Sweden
Monday, October 16 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group F Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Belgium	7	13	17
2	Austria	7	8	16
3	Sweden	6	3	7
4	Azerbaijan	6	-8	4
5	Estonia	6	-16	1

Serbia

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Serbia 3-1 Montenegro
Tuesday, October 17 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group G Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Hungary	6	7	14
2	Serbia	7	6	13
3	Montenegro	6	-2	8
4	Lithuania	7	-4	6
5	Bulgaria	6	-7	2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgium win with a probability of 49.98%. A win for Serbia had a probability of 26.29% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Belgium win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.35%) and 2-0 (8.08%). The likeliest Serbia win was 1-2 (6.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Belgium would win this match.

Result
Belgium	Draw	Serbia
49.98% ( -1.02)	23.72% ( 0.41)	26.29% ( 0.6)

Both teams to score 57.18% (

-0.84)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.77% (

-1.38)

44.22% (

1.37)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.4% (

-1.35)

66.6% (

1.35)

Belgium Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.22% (

-0.9)

17.78% (

0.89)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.51% (

-1.57)

48.49% (

1.57)

Serbia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.54% (

-0.27)

30.45% (

0.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.34% (

-0.32)

66.66% (

0.31)

Score Analysis

Belgium 49.98%

Serbia 26.29%

Draw 23.72%

Belgium	Draw	Serbia
2-1 @ 9.6% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 9.35% ( 0.28) 2-0 @ 8.08% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.53% ( -0.2) 3-0 @ 4.65% ( -0.13) 3-2 @ 3.29% ( -0.14) 4-1 @ 2.39% ( -0.16) 4-0 @ 2.01% ( -0.12) 4-2 @ 1.42% ( -0.11) Other @ 3.68% Total : 49.98%	1-1 @ 11.11% ( 0.25) 2-2 @ 5.71% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 5.41% ( 0.32) 3-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.72%	1-2 @ 6.61% ( 0.11) 0-1 @ 6.44% ( 0.33) 0-2 @ 3.83% ( 0.17) 1-3 @ 2.62% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.26% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 1.52% ( 0.06) Other @ 3.02% Total : 26.29%