MX23RW : Thursday, February 13 06:18:48| >> :120:4508:4508:
Belgium national football team
Friendlies 1
Nov 15, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stade Roi Baudouin
Serbia national football team

Belgium
1 - 0
Serbia

FT(HT: 1-0)

Veljkovic (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's friendly clash between Belgium and Serbia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Belgium 1-1 Sweden
Monday, October 16 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Current Group F Standings P GD PTS
1Belgium71317
2Austria7816
3Sweden637
4Azerbaijan6-84
5Estonia6-161
All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Serbia 3-1 Montenegro
Tuesday, October 17 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

We said: Belgium 2-1 Serbia

Belgium are without several key men, while Serbia have more to build towards this weekend, but the hosts still boast more quality throughout their squad and should have enough to come out on top in Brussels. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgium win with a probability of 49.98%. A win for Serbia had a probability of 26.29% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Belgium win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.35%) and 2-0 (8.08%). The likeliest Serbia win was 1-2 (6.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Belgium would win this match.

Result
BelgiumDrawSerbia
49.98% (-1.017 -1.02) 23.72% (0.414 0.41) 26.29% (0.596 0.6)
Both teams to score 57.18% (-0.843 -0.84)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.77% (-1.378 -1.38)44.22% (1.373 1.37)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.4% (-1.353 -1.35)66.6% (1.348 1.35)
Belgium Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.22% (-0.89700000000001 -0.9)17.78% (0.891 0.89)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.51% (-1.573 -1.57)48.49% (1.567 1.57)
Serbia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.54% (-0.268 -0.27)30.45% (0.262 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.34% (-0.316 -0.32)66.66% (0.31 0.31)
Score Analysis
    Belgium 49.98%
    Serbia 26.29%
    Draw 23.72%
BelgiumDrawSerbia
2-1 @ 9.6% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)
1-0 @ 9.35% (0.284 0.28)
2-0 @ 8.08% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.53% (-0.199 -0.2)
3-0 @ 4.65% (-0.132 -0.13)
3-2 @ 3.29% (-0.143 -0.14)
4-1 @ 2.39% (-0.159 -0.16)
4-0 @ 2.01% (-0.119 -0.12)
4-2 @ 1.42% (-0.106 -0.11)
Other @ 3.68%
Total : 49.98%
1-1 @ 11.11% (0.25 0.25)
2-2 @ 5.71% (-0.076 -0.08)
0-0 @ 5.41% (0.316 0.32)
3-3 @ 1.3% (-0.067 -0.07)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 23.72%
1-2 @ 6.61% (0.107 0.11)
0-1 @ 6.44% (0.332 0.33)
0-2 @ 3.83% (0.171 0.17)
1-3 @ 2.62% (0.024 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.26% (-0.047 -0.05)
0-3 @ 1.52% (0.057 0.06)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 26.29%

How you voted: Belgium vs Serbia

Belgium
73.3%
Draw
17.3%
Serbia
9.3%
75
Head to Head
rhs 2.0
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