/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fbellog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fserlog.png)
-
Yannick Carrasco
2'
-
Milos Veljkovic
57'
Belgium vs Serbia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F41%2Fdomenico-tedesco.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgium win with a probability of 49.98%. A win for Serbia had a probability of 26.29% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Belgium win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.35%) and 2-0 (8.08%). The likeliest Serbia win was 1-2 (6.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Belgium would win this match.
Result
Belgium
49.98%
▼
(-1.02)
Draw
23.72%
▲
(+0.42)
Serbia
26.29%
▲
(+0.60)
Both Teams to Score:
57.18%
▼
(-0.85)
Goals
Over 2.5
55.77%
▼
(-1.38)
Under 2.5
44.22%
▲
(+1.38)
Over 3.5
33.4%
▼
(-1.36)
Under 3.5
66.6%
▲
(+1.35)
Over 4.5
17.08%
▼
(-1.00)
Under 4.5
82.91%
▲
(+1.00)
Belgium Goals
Over 0.5
82.22%
▼
(-0.90)
Under 0.5
17.78%
▲
(+0.90)
Over 1.5
51.51%
▼
(-1.58)
Under 1.5
48.49%
▲
(+1.57)
Serbia Goals
Over 0.5
69.54%
▼
(-0.27)
Under 0.5
30.45%
▲
(+0.27)
Over 1.5
33.34%
▼
(-0.32)
Under 1.5
66.66%
▲
(+0.32)
Score analysis
Belgium
49.98%
Draw
23.72%
Serbia
26.29%
Belgium
2-1
@
9.6%
▼
(-0.06)
1-0 @ 9.35% ▲ (+0.29)
2-0 @ 8.08% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 5.53% ▼ (-0.20)
3-0 @ 4.65% ▼ (-0.14)
3-2 @ 3.29% ▼ (-0.15)
4-1 @ 2.39% ▼ (-0.16)
4-0 @ 2.01% ▼ (-0.12)
4-2 @ 1.42% ▼ (-0.11)
Other @ 3.68%
Total : 49.98%
1-0 @ 9.35% ▲ (+0.29)
2-0 @ 8.08% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 5.53% ▼ (-0.20)
3-0 @ 4.65% ▼ (-0.14)
3-2 @ 3.29% ▼ (-0.15)
4-1 @ 2.39% ▼ (-0.16)
4-0 @ 2.01% ▼ (-0.12)
4-2 @ 1.42% ▼ (-0.11)
Other @ 3.68%
Total : 49.98%
Draw
1-1
@
11.11%
▲
(+0.25)
2-2 @ 5.71% ▼ (-0.08)
0-0 @ 5.41% ▲ (+0.32)
3-3 @ 1.3% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 23.72%
2-2 @ 5.71% ▼ (-0.08)
0-0 @ 5.41% ▲ (+0.32)
3-3 @ 1.3% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 23.72%
Serbia
1-2
@
6.61%
▲
(+0.11)
0-1 @ 6.44% ▲ (+0.34)
0-2 @ 3.83% ▲ (+0.18)
1-3 @ 2.62% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.26% ▼ (-0.05)
0-3 @ 1.52% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 26.29%
0-1 @ 6.44% ▲ (+0.34)
0-2 @ 3.83% ▲ (+0.18)
1-3 @ 2.62% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.26% ▼ (-0.05)
0-3 @ 1.52% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 26.29%