Euro 2024

Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage

Nov 19, 2023 at 5pm UK

Stade Roi Baudouin

Belgium
5 - 0
Azerbaijan

Lukaku (17', 26', 30', 37'), Trossard (90')
Theate (22'), Vranckx (45')

FT(HT: 4-0)

Silvestre (20'), Mahammadaliyev (86')
Silvestre (24')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Belgium and Azerbaijan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Belgium

All competitions

Euro Champ Qualifying

Last Game: Belgium 1-0 Serbia
Wednesday, November 15 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies

Current Group F Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Austria	8	10	19
2	Belgium	7	13	17
3	Sweden	7	0	7
4	Azerbaijan	7	-5	7
5	Estonia	7	-18	1

Azerbaijan

All competitions

Euro Champ Qualifying

Last Game: Azerbaijan 3-0 Sweden
Thursday, November 16 at 5pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group F Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Austria	8	10	19
2	Belgium	7	13	17
3	Sweden	7	0	7
4	Azerbaijan	7	-5	7
5	Estonia	7	-18	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgium win with a probability of 66.89%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Azerbaijan had a probability of 13.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Belgium win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.52%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.11%), while for an Azerbaijan win it was 0-1 (4.23%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Belgium would win this match.

Result
Belgium	Draw	Azerbaijan
66.89% ( -0.03)	19.23% ( 0.03)	13.89% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 51.17% (

-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.08% (

-0.1)

41.92% (

0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.67% (

-0.1)

64.33% (

0.1)

Belgium Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.38% (

-0.04)

11.62% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.38% (

-0.09)

36.62% (

0.08)

Azerbaijan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.9% (

-0.05)

42.1% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.48% (

-0.04)

78.52% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

Belgium 66.87%

Azerbaijan 13.89%

Draw 19.23%

Belgium	Draw	Azerbaijan
2-0 @ 11.33% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 10.52% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.8% ( 0) 3-0 @ 8.13% ( -0) 3-1 @ 7.04% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 4.38% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 3.79% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.04% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.88% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.64% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.63% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.69% Total : 66.87%	1-1 @ 9.11% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.89% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.24% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.99% Total : 19.23%	0-1 @ 4.23% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 3.94% 0-2 @ 1.83% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.22% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.14% ( -0) Other @ 1.53% Total : 13.89%