Poland national football team
Friendlies 1
Jun 10, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadion Slaski
Turkey national football team

Poland
2 - 1
Turkey

Swiderski (12'), Zalewski (90')
Salamon (47'), Slisz (67')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Yilmaz (77')
Yilmaz (51'), Kokcu (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's friendly clash between Poland and Turkey, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Poland

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Poland 3-1 Ukraine
Friday, June 7 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies

Turkey

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Italy 0-0 Turkey
Tuesday, June 4 at 8pm in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Poland win with a probability of 57.7%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Turkey had a probability of 19.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Poland win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.03%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.68%), while for a Turkey win it was 0-1 (5.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Poland would win this match.

Result
PolandDrawTurkey
57.7% (-0.139 -0.14)22.52% (0.048000000000002 0.05)19.78% (0.091000000000001 0.09)
Both teams to score 52.9% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.02% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)45.98% (0.082999999999998 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.71% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)68.29% (0.078000000000003 0.08)
Poland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.34% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)15.66% (0.075999999999999 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.3% (-0.138 -0.14)44.7% (0.138 0.14)
Turkey Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.72% (0.049999999999997 0.05)37.28% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.94% (0.046999999999997 0.05)74.06% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Poland 57.69%
    Turkey 19.78%
    Draw 22.52%
PolandDrawTurkey
1-0 @ 10.82% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 10.03% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.9% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 6.2% (-0.026000000000001 -0.03)
3-1 @ 6.12% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.02% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 2.87% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.84% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.4% (-0.006 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.07% (-0.01 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.05% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 57.69%
1-1 @ 10.68% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 5.84% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.89% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-3 @ 0.99%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 22.52%
0-1 @ 5.76% (0.028 0.03)
1-2 @ 5.27% (0.018999999999999 0.02)
0-2 @ 2.84% (0.017 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.73% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.61% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 0.94% (0.007 0.01)
Other @ 1.63%
Total : 19.78%

How you voted: Poland vs Turkey

Poland
62.5%
Draw
25.0%
Turkey
12.5%
200
rhs 2.0


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