/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fpollog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fukrlog.png)
-
Sebastian Walukiewicz
11'
-
Piotr Zielinski
16'
-
Taras Romanczuk
30'
-
Artem Dovbyk
41'
-
Oleksandr Tymchyk
49'
-
Ruslan Malinovskyi
56'
-
Maksym Talovierov
86'
Poland vs Ukraine - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F12%2Fpoland.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Poland win with a probability of 60.19%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Ukraine had a probability of 17.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Poland win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.56%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.77%), while for a Ukraine win it was 0-1 (5.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Poland would win this match.
Result
Poland
60.19%
▼
(-0.01)
Draw
22.72%
▼
(-0.01)
Ukraine
17.08%
▲
(+0.01)
Both Teams to Score:
47.46%
▲
(+0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5
49.23%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 2.5
50.77%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 3.5
27.34%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 3.5
72.66%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 4.5
12.87%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 4.5
87.13%
▼
(-0.02)
Poland Goals
Over 0.5
83.52%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 0.5
16.47%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 1.5
53.81%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 1.5
46.19%
▼
(-0.01)
Ukraine Goals
Over 0.5
56.82%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 0.5
43.18%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 1.5
20.56%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 1.5
79.44%
▼
(-0.02)
Score analysis
Poland
60.18%
Draw
22.72%
Ukraine
17.08%
Poland
1-0
@
12.82%
▼
(-0.01)
2-0 @ 11.56% ▼ (-0.01)
2-1 @ 9.71% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 6.95% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.84% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 3.13%
4-1 @ 2.63% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.45% ▲ (+0.01)
5-0 @ 1.13%
4-2 @ 1.11% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 60.18%
2-0 @ 11.56% ▼ (-0.01)
2-1 @ 9.71% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 6.95% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.84% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 3.13%
4-1 @ 2.63% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.45% ▲ (+0.01)
5-0 @ 1.13%
4-2 @ 1.11% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 60.18%
Draw
1-1
@
10.77%
0-0 @ 7.11% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.08% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 22.72%
0-0 @ 7.11% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.08% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 22.72%
Ukraine
0-1
@
5.98%
▼
(-0.01)
1-2 @ 4.52% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 2.51% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.27% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.14% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 1.67%
Total : 17.08%
1-2 @ 4.52% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 2.51% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.27% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.14% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 1.67%
Total : 17.08%