Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bosnia-Herzegovina win with a probability of 42.34%. A win for Ukraine had a probability of 32.47% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bosnia-Herzegovina win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.93%) and 2-0 (6.95%). The likeliest Ukraine win was 0-1 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Ukraine in this match.