Euro 2024

Euro Champ Qualifying | Semi-Finals

Mar 21, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Stadion Bilino Polje

Bosnia H'vina
1 - 2
Ukraine

Matviyenko (56' og.)
Kolasinac (9'), Gazibegovic (26'), Ahmedhodzic (79'), Kovacevic (90+4')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Yaremchuk (85'), Dovbyk (88')
Matviyenko (16'), Konoplya (58'), Yaremchuk (90+1'), Lunin (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Bosnia-Herzegovina and Ukraine, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bosnia-Herzegovina

All competitions

Last Game: Bosnia H'vina 1-2 Slovakia
Sunday, November 19 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group J Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Portugal	10	34	30
2	Slovakia	10	9	22
3	Luxembourg	10	-6	17
4	Iceland	10	1	10
5	Bosnia-Herzegovina	10	-11	9
6	Liechtenstein	10	-27	0

Ukraine

All competitions

Last Game: Ukraine 0-0 Italy
Monday, November 20 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	England	8	18	20
2	Italy	8	7	14
3	Ukraine	8	3	14
4	North Macedonia	8	-10	8
5	Malta	8	-18	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bosnia-Herzegovina win with a probability of 42.34%. A win for Ukraine had a probability of 32.47% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bosnia-Herzegovina win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.93%) and 2-0 (6.95%). The likeliest Ukraine win was 0-1 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Ukraine in this match.

Result
Bosnia-Herzegovina	Draw	Ukraine
42.34% ( -0.52)	25.18% ( 0.2)	32.47% ( 0.31)

Both teams to score 56.22% (

-0.58)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.73% (

-0.8)

47.26% (

0.8)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.51% (

-0.75)

69.49% (

0.75)

Bosnia-Herzegovina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.73% (

-0.59)

22.26% (

0.58)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.28% (

-0.89)

55.71% (

0.89)

Ukraine Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.32% (

-0.19)

27.68% (

0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.77% (

-0.25)

63.23% (

0.25)

Score Analysis

Bosnia-Herzegovina 42.34%

Ukraine 32.47%

Draw 25.18%

Bosnia-Herzegovina	Draw	Ukraine
1-0 @ 9.26% ( 0.15) 2-1 @ 8.93% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 6.95% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.47% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 3.48% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 2.87% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 1.68% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 1.31% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.08% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.31% Total : 42.34%	1-1 @ 11.89% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 6.16% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 5.74% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.18%	0-1 @ 7.92% ( 0.22) 1-2 @ 7.64% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 5.08% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 3.27% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.46% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 2.18% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.88% Total : 32.47%